What we can expect in the next week with the monsoon pulse activity at the top end. I put together these 3 animations from 3 different models, showing 24 hour rainfall, not accumulated rainfall. ACCESS, ECWMF and GFS. All three support a tropical low approaching the NT and WA coast, the GFS shows a possible second system in the gulf.
Access
GFS
ECWMF
As you can see it will mainly affect the top end, but also WA and SA depending on where the low heads.
The MJO now confirming my early forecast from March 1st that a monsoon pulse would appear in the first and second week of April.
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