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Tropical Low
The tropical low NE of the Solomon Islands is deepening to 1005hPa tomorrow and will deepen further to 1002hPa by Saturday as it drifts slowly SSW towards Vanuatu. By Sunday it will continue towards Vanuatu a little faster and deepen to around 990hPa. At this point it will be well fed from the warm humid air to the NE and mix with the cooler drier air from the South creating severe storms. The models differ from this point and I prefer to deal with what is most likely here. But the Solomon Islands and Vanuatu should be ready for a tropical system to approach within the week. On the radar it still looks disorganised, no clear circulation. And the JTWC site has not listed it yet.
National
Tasman Sea high pressure extends over eastern Queensland, promoting calm weather. High weakens, trough moves slowly then eastward.
State
Tasman Sea high pressure extends over eastern Queensland, promoting calm weather. High weakens, trough moves slowly then eastward.
4-day
Thursday: Partly cloudy in eastern Queensland with showers along the Sunshine Coast, Gold Coast, and tropical east coast. Isolated thunderstorms in the Central West. Some smoke haze in eastern districts and central interior. Mostly clear elsewhere. Light to moderate southeasterly winds, fresh at times along the coast. Winds shifting to south to southwesterly in far western Queensland.
Friday: Partly sunny with afternoon showers and thunderstorms in the Gulf Country. Above average temperatures in the interior.
Saturday: Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms in western Gulf Country. High temperatures above average, especially in the southern interior.
Sunday: Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms in western Gulf Country. Mostly sunny and warm elsewhere. Above average temperatures, especially in southern and central areas. High fire dangers in the interior.
Townsville
Min 21 Max 30 Partly cloudy. Chance of any rain: 5%. Partly cloudy. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h, tending east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning, then becoming light in the evening.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin
Min 19 Max 30 Cloud clearing. Chance of any rain: 5%.Winds easterly 15 to 25 km/h, turning northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands
Min 18 Max 30 Partly cloudy. Chance of any rain: 5%. Winds east to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.
Cairns
Min 22 Max 30 Partly cloudy. Chance of any rain: 10%. Winds SE 15-20 km/h, shifting to E-SE 20-30 km/h in the morning, becoming light and E-SE in the evening.
Mackay
Min 19 Max 27 Partly cloudy. Chance of any rain: 5%. Winds E-SE 20-30 km/h, becoming light in the late evening.
Northern Goldfields
Min 20 Max 36 Mostly sunny. Chance of any rain: 0%. Winds E-NE 20-30 km/h, becoming E-SE 15-20 km/h in the early afternoon, then E-NE in the late evening.
Mt Isa
Min 20 Max 37 Sunny. Chance of any rain: 0%. Light winds becoming SE 15-20 km/h early, then light in the morning.
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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