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An added thanks to the sponsorship from NQ Licensed Events and the Country Festival on March 30 & 31 at the Dittman Bullpit
Website: https://www.countryfest.com.au/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/contryfestqld
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/countryfestqld/
The weather for the Country Fest is looking mainly fine for the 2 days, 5mm rainfall forecast at the moment. I will keep you updated.
Monsoon Update
Ex TC Megan has crossed and moved SW into the NT. A convergence exists along the QLD coast around Cairns currently and this should shift North slightly over the next day or so then another convergence will sit around Townsville on the weekend but only patchy rain with occasional heavy downpours. The MJO showing the monsoon is on its way out as it heads into phase 7 which is the Coral Sea to Eastern Pacific. We should only see a very weak monsoon pulse in May but closer to the equator and we should also see cooler conditions arrive with those High pressure systems digging cooler air from the Antarctic region.
Pink concerts in Townsville may see some showers on Friday but possibly heavier rain on the Saturday, however the time of day might be important, as early evening tends to clear from rain. Anyone coming from Cairns should be ok, the rain should not impact the roads at this stage.
Easter a little bit of a change with 1 to 5mm expected Friday through to Monday, but expecting some more changes as we get closer.
National
In the northern tropics and interior regions, heavy rain, storms, and strong winds could occur due to monsoon lows. Showers and storms might affect the southern parts of Queensland and New South Wales, driven by humid and unstable winds. Tasmania and the southern regions of Western Australia could experience scattered showers as brisk winds blow in from the ocean.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
A trough will bring prolonged rain to North Queensland, then move north. High pressure on east coast strengthens later this week. Weak trough in southern Queensland shifts to southeast by Thursday, then returns westward. West and interior Queensland may see increased rainfall next week.
ACCESS (Values are rainfall over 3 hours)
4-day
Wednesday: Patchy showers with some storms in northern and Far North Queensland. Showers becoming more widespread in the northeast, with potential for heavy rain in parts. Isolated showers in eastern, central, and southern Queensland, scattered on the east coast. Thunderstorms possible south of Brisbane and Thargomindah. Winds generally light to moderate, strong in the southern Gulf coast. Partly cloudy in other areas.
Thursday: Variable showers across districts, isolated thunderstorms in the north. Chance of thunderstorm in southern interior. Winds strengthening along coasts. Partly cloudy in southwest, central, and northern interior. Temps below average in far west, near average elsewhere.
Friday: Expect isolated to scattered showers, chance of thunderstorms in some areas, fresh southeasterly winds, and below-average temperatures in certain regions.
Saturday: Saturday: Showers and storms possible across most areas, with some areas experiencing moderate rainfall. Cooler temperatures in the west and southern interior.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Maximum temperature: 30°C, Minimum temperature: 20°C, Wind speed: 15-20 km/h, Wind direction: East to southeasterly, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Other: Cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Max temperature: 33°C, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: easterly 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: east, Rainfall: possible showers, Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms in the north.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Maximum temperature: 30°C, Minimum temperature: Low 20s, Wind speed: 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: East to southeasterly, Rainfall: Medium chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy with overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s.
Peninsula:
The weather will be cloudy with very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon, chance of a thunderstorm, light winds, with maximum temperature in the low 30s and minimum temperature in the mid 20s.
Gulf Country:
Max temperature: low 30s, Min temperature: mid 20s, Wind speed: east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening, Wind direction: east to northeasterly, Rainfall: Very high chance of showers, Other: Cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Max temperature: 34°C, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: easterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light, Wind direction: east, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with showers, Other: chance of a thunderstorm
Capricornia:
The weather will be hot with temperatures ranging from the low to mid 30s, light winds becoming southeasterly then easterly at 15 to 25 km/h, a slight chance of showers near the coast, and overnight temperatures between 18 and 22.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
The weather is mostly sunny with light winds becoming 15 to 20 km/h from the east to southeasterly in the morning, then becoming light in the evening; overnight temperatures will fall to between 19 and 22 degrees, while daytime temperatures will reach the low to mid 30s.
Central West:
Maximum temperature in the mid 30s, minimum temperature in the low to mid 20s, wind speed increasing from 15 to 25 km/h to 20 to 30 km/h from east to southeasterly, with partly cloudy skies.
North West:
Max temperature: 34°C, Min temperature: 20°C, Wind speed: 20-30 km/h easterly, Wind direction: east, Rainfall: Showers likely, and Cloudy with possible thunderstorms.
Channel Country:
Max temperature: 36°C, min temperature: 23°C, wind speed: 20-45 km/h, wind direction: southeast to southwesterly, rainfall: slight chance, weather: Partly cloudy with medium chance of showers near Northern Territory border and overnight temperatures of 23-28°C.
Maranoa and Warrego:
The weather forecast includes maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s, overnight temperatures dropping to between 20 to 25, north to northeasterly winds shifting to south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h, partly cloudy skies with a slight chance of a shower in the south, and near zero chance of rain elsewhere, with a slight chance of a thunderstorm in the south.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s; Min temperature: 17-21; Wind speed: northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light then northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h; Wind direction: northeast to southeasterly; Rainfall: Medium chance of showers in the southwest; Other: Mostly sunny with chance of a thunderstorm in the southwest.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Max temperature: 30°C, min temperature: 17-21°C, wind speed: 15-25 km/h, wind direction: east to southeasterly, rainfall: slight chance, other: Partly cloudy with medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe.
Southeast Coast:
Maximum temperature around 30 with overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21, light winds, medium chance of showers, partly cloudy, and light rainfall expected.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Severe thunderstorm warning issued for parts of Daly and Gregory districts in the Northern Territory.
Major flood warning issued for the Mcarthur River in the Northern Territory.
Sheep graziers warning issued for the Snowy Mountains in New South Wales.
Strong wind warning issued for Port Phillip, Central, and East Gippsland coasts in Victoria. West Coast warning cancelled.
Strong wind warning issued for Hunter, Sydney, Illawarra, Batemans, and Eden coasts in New South Wales.
Strong wind warning issued for Far North West, Central North, Lower East, and South East coasts in Tasmania.
Strong wind warning issued for Gascoyne, Geraldton, Lancelin, Perth, Bunbury Geographe, and Leeuwin coasts in Western Australia.
Severe weather warning issued for heavy, locally intense rainfall and damaging winds in parts of Carpentaria and Barkly districts in the Northern Territory.
Strong wind warning issued for Van Diemen Gulf, Arafura, Gove Peninsula, and Roper Groote coasts in the Northern Territory.
Gale warning issued for southeastern and southern areas in New South Wales.
Carpentaria in Queensland.
Minor flood warning issued for the Fitzroy River in Western Australia.
Flood warnings issued for Salt Lakes District Rivers and Eucla District in Western Australia.
Flood watch issued for the Cape York Peninsula, North Tropical Coast, and the Gulf Country in Queensland.
Flood watch issued for inland parts of the Northern Territory and Carpentaria Coastal Rivers.
Minor flood warning issued for the Mulgrave and Russell Rivers in Queensland.
Minor flood warning issued for the Tully River and flood warning for the Murray River in Queensland.
Minor flood warning issued for the Daintree River and flood warning for the Mossman River in Queensland.
Moderate flood warning issued for the Daly River in the Northern Territory.
Fire weather warning issued for Swan Inland North, Swan Inland South, Geographe, Capes, and Brockman in Western Australia.
Minor flood warning issued for the Paroo River in New South Wales.
Flood warning issued for the Inland Rivers Sa in South Australia.
Minor flood warning issued for the Warrego River in New South Wales.
Moderate flood warning issued for Eyre Creek and minor flood warning for the Georgina River in Queensland.
Final flood warning issued for the Diamantina River in Queensland.
Storms - Heatwave - Fire danger
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Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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