To get your daily forecast delivered free goto http://wallysweather.com.au/blog
This weather update is brought to you by Genesis Electrical NQ
Genesis Electrical NQ
We can Solve all of your Electrical, Air Conditioning and Solar needs!
Phone: 1300 443 637
Email: info@genesislec.com
Monsoon Update
With Ex TC Lincoln officially dying, we now shift back to phase 6 where the monsoon has reversed as was picked up by our Long Range Forecast. The MJO chart is something we focus on a lot with the monsoon, it shows where the monsoon is most active, and gives you an idea on where it will move to next and how intense. We see most of the precipitation on the model below over the NT and QLD. And we should see it go back further to WA/NT phase 5 in a few weeks, but not after we see more rain around the Gulf towards the end of the month.
National
Showers and storms in northeast NSW, QLD, and the northern tropics. Storms and heavy rain affecting WA. Warm and dry conditions prevail over much of SA, VIC, and NSW due to high pressure. Brisk winds and a few showers expected in TAS, and possibly southern VIC, associated with a cold front.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
Northern Queensland will have showers and storms due to an upper trough and humid airmass. A ridge will form in southeastern Queensland on Monday, then spread north to central Queensland by Tuesday. A southeasterly wind surge will increase rainfall in the Central Coast and Whitsundays on Tuesday and Wednesday, moving towards the northern tropics later. Southwest Queensland will see a new trough later in the week, possibly reaching central Queensland by the weekend.
ACCESS (Values are rainfall over 3 hours)
4-day
Monday: Eastern areas may have scattered showers and thunderstorms. Interior might see isolated showers and thunderstorms. Southwest and western interior likely to be mostly clear. Winds will be light to moderate from southeast to northeasterly. Peninsula and Torres Strait may experience northwesterly winds.
Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms in central, northern, and northwestern districts with possible severe storms in the interior. Showers expanding over Central Coast and Whitsundays, isolated showers in eastern and central interior. Mostly sunny in southwest and southern interior. Above average temps in south, below in northwest.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms in central and northern districts with heavy falls possible. Widespread showers easing in the Central Coast. Isolated showers along the east coast. Sunny in most of the interior. Above average temps in the south and well below average in the northwest.
Thursday: Scattered showers and storms in central, north, and northwest areas. More showers from Bowen to Cairns. Isolated showers in the east. Chance of showers in far southwest and Granite Belt. Mostly sunny in southeast, south, and central areas. Higher temps in the south, cooler in the northwest.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max temperature around 30 with low to mid 20s overnight, light winds, partly cloudy with high chance of showers and thunderstorms from late morning.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
The weather forecast includes a maximum temperature of around 30 degrees, light winds, a high chance of showers, possible thunderstorms, and partly cloudy conditions with overnight temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
The weather forecast is for a max temperature of around 30, with light winds becoming east to southeasterly and a high chance of showers and a thunderstorm later in the day.
Peninsula:
The weather forecast includes a max temperature in the low to mid 30s, a min temperature in the mid 20s, light winds, high chance of showers mainly in the late morning, and a possibility of severe thunderstorms in the south, with partly cloudy skies.
Gulf Country:
High of 30-35°C, low of 25°C, light winds, possible showers and thunderstorms in the east overnight.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s; Min temperature: low to mid 20s; Wind speed: light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening; Wind direction: easterly; Rainfall: high chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening; Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorm, possibly severe in the north.
Capricornia:
Max temperature: low 30s, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h turning easterly 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: southeasterly turning easterly, Rainfall: High chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere, Conditions: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Max temperature: Low to mid 30s; Min temperature: Low 20s; Wind speed: Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h; Wind direction: East to southeasterly; Rainfall: Chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere; Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm in the north from late morning.
Central West:
The weather will be mostly sunny with a slight chance of a shower, possible thunderstorm in the northeast later, light winds becoming easterly 15-25 km/h, low to mid 20s overnight, mid to high 30s during the day.
North West:
The weather forecast includes temperatures ranging from the mid to high 30s, light winds becoming easterly, a high chance of showers north of Mt Isa with a slight chance elsewhere and the possibility of a thunderstorm by late morning.
Channel Country:
Sunny with light winds becoming easterly to southeasterly 15-20 km/h in the morning, then becoming light in the late evening. Max temp around 40°C, min temp in the low to mid 20s, with no rainfall expected.
Maranoa and Warrego:
The weather forecast for the day includes daytime temperatures ranging from 35 to 40 degrees Celsius, with overnight temperatures dropping to the low 20s, light winds becoming east to southeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon and then calming in the evening, and the possibility of sunny conditions with no rainfall.
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temperature: 37°C, Min temperature: 18°C, Wind speed: Light, Wind direction: Variable, Rainfall: None, Other: Sunny.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
The weather will be partly cloudy with a slight chance of a shower, light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening, with maximum temperatures in the low 30s and minimum temperatures falling to between 19 and 22, and no rainfall expected.
Southeast Coast:
The weather forecast includes a maximum temperature of around 30°C, minimum temperature between 19-22°C, light winds, partly cloudy conditions with a medium chance of showers, and overnight temperatures dropping to 19-22°C.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Strong Wind Warning for Leeuwin Coast.
Strong Wind Warning for Capricornia Coast.
Strong Wind Warning for Port Phillip & Central Coast.
Gale Warning South West Coast. Strong Wind Warning Banks St & Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Is & Lower East, South East & CW coasts.
Moderate Flood Warning For The Diamantina And Western Rivers.
Final Flood Warning For The Haughton River Catchment.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Qld).
Moderate Flood Warning For The Tully And Murray Rivers.
Minor Flood Warning For The Bulloo River.
Final Flood Warning For The Herbert River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Nsw).
Major Flood Warning For The Nicholson River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Lower Barcoo River And Cooper Creek.
Major Flood Warning For The Flinders River.
Flood Warning For The Inland Rivers Sa.
Moderate Flood Warning For Eyre Creek And Minor Flood Warning For The Georgina River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Warrego River (Nsw).
Storms - Heatwave - Fire danger
Click here to support to Wally's Weather
National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
Comments