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Monsoon Update
With 07U is moving into the Gulf overnight and deepening over the next day, however, it may not stay in the Gulf long enough to deepen into a tropical cyclone even though the conditions are good. As the new High moves into the Tasman, there is a trough to the North that the low will move alone to the SW. That may not be all we see of this low, as it may pass over the NW WA coastline. The trough will still reach from there over the Peninsula and produce rain and storms for the next week.
National
Troughs and a low-pressure system will bring showers and storms to the tropics, northern Western Australia, and Queensland, while also building heat in western Western Australia. Another trough will bring showers and storms to northern New South Wales. High pressure over the Bight will result in settled and dry conditions in the southern regions.
Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp
State
A weak trough in the northwestern and western parts of the state will bring unsettled conditions. A ridge of high pressure extends over central and southern Queensland, causing onshore showers on the east coast. This ridge may strengthen on Thursday with a new high pressure system approaching. The monsoon trough in the Gulf of Carpentaria and western Cape York Peninsula will deepen and a tropical low is expected to move east into the Gulf on Wednesday. This low will then shift south over the Gulf Coast towards the end of the week or early weekend, resulting in increased rainfall in Far North Queensland from Wednesday.
ACCESS (Values are rainfall over 3 hours)
4-day
Wednesday: Eastern districts: isolated showers, becoming scattered with isolated thunderstorms from Mackay to Hervey Bay. Elsewhere: isolated showers and thunderstorms, becoming scattered in the Gulf Country and widespread at times on the Peninsula. Light to moderate northeast to southeasterly winds, occasionally fresh along the east coast south of Townsville. Winds on the northern Peninsula and Torres Strait becoming light northwesterly.
Thursday: Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the state, mainly in Channel Country and southeastern interior. Showers becoming widespread and potentially heavy on Peninsula and Gulf Country coast, depending on the monsoon trough. Temperatures will be below average in the northwest and southern interior, but near average elsewhere.
Friday: Widespread showers, possible heavy rain in Peninsula, Gulf Country, North Tropical Coast. Scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms in east, isolated in west. Gale force winds possible in Gulf Country. Below average temps in northwest, Far North; near average elsewhere.
Saturday: Saturday: Showers likely for Peninsula, Gulf Country, and North Tropical Coast. Isolated showers and thunderstorms for eastern districts. Partly cloudy in the Channel Country. Below average temperatures in the northwest, near average elsewhere.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Max temperature: 30, min temperature: 19-24, wind speed: light, wind direction: east, rainfall: showers possible, other: partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorm.
Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: east to northeasterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Partly cloudy, Chance of thunderstorm.
Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Max temperature: around 30, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h then light, Wind direction: easterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Other: partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.
Peninsula:
Max temperature: 33, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: Light, Wind direction: Not specified, Rainfall: Very high chance of showers, Cloudy, Chance of a thunderstorm.
Gulf Country:
Max temperature: 33, Min temperature: mid 20s, Wind speed: light becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: east to northeasterly, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Other: Cloudy, Chance of thunderstorm.
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Max temperature: low to high 30s; Min temperature: low to mid 20s; Wind speed: light; Wind direction: not specified; Rainfall: chance of showers; Weather: partly cloudy with medium chance of showers and a chance of thunderstorm.
Capricornia:
Max temperature: 30, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h, Wind direction: becoming light in the evening, Rainfall: showers, Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.
Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Max temperature: 30 to 35, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: easterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorm.
Central West:
Max temperature: 31 to 37, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 15 to 25 km/h becoming light, Wind direction: northeasterly becoming easterly, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with medium chance of showers and chance of thunderstorm.
North West:
Max temperature: mid to high 30s, Min temperature: mid 20s, Wind speed: light becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening, Wind direction: varied, Rainfall: high chance of showers north of Mt Isa, medium chance elsewhere, Other: partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm.
Channel Country:
Max temperature: 34 to 41, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day, Wind direction: northeasterly to southeasterly, Rainfall: slight chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening, Other: Partly cloudy, chance of a thunderstorm.
Maranoa and Warrego:
Max temperature, minimum temperature, wind speed, wind direction, rainfall, and conditions (partly cloudy with high chance of showers and thunderstorm, light winds becoming northerly in the morning and light in the middle of the day, overnight temperatures falling to low 20s and daytime temperatures reaching low to mid 30s).
Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Max temperature: low 30s, min temperature: 18-23, wind speed: northeasterly 15-20 km/h becoming light, rainfall: medium chance of showers, wind direction: northeasterly, other: partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.
Wide Bay and Burnett:
Max temperature: 30, Min temperature: 19-23, Wind speed: light winds, Wind direction: Not specified, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Thunderstorm: Possible, Other: Partly cloudy.
Southeast Coast:
Max temperature: 30°C, Min temperature: 18-22°C, Wind speed: Light, Wind direction: Variable, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with medium chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere, Thunderstorm possible in the morning and afternoon.
WEATHER WARNINGS
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Damaging Winds) for parts of Pilbara and Kimberley districts.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Damaging Winds) for Snowy Mountains, ACT & South Coast, Southern Tablelands, Central West Slopes/Plains, Southwest Slopes, Riverina & Lower Western.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Damaging Winds) for East Gippsland, North East, and parts of Northern Country and West and South Gippsland.
Strong Wind Warning for Geraldton, Lancelin, Bunbury Geographe, and Leeuwin coasts. Cancellation for Gascoyne Coast.
Strong Wind Warning for Arafura and Gove Peninsula coasts.
Gale Warning for Southeastern and Southern Areas.
Strong Wind Warning for Sydney Enclosed Waters, and Hunter, Sydney, Illawarra, Batemans, and Eden coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Port Phillip, Western Port & West, Central, Central Gippsland, and East Gippsland coasts.
Strong Wind Warning for Spencer Gulf & South Central, Upper South East, and Lower South East coasts. Cancellation for Investigator Strait.
Gale Warning for Lower East & South East coasts.
Minor Flood Warning for The Barcoo River and Cooper Creek.
Moderate Flood Warning for The Nicholson River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Balonne River and Balonne River Minor.
Moderate Flood Warning For The Diamantina River.
Initial Flood Watch For Southern Gulf Of Carpentaria Catchments.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Queensland).
Flood Watch For Western Top End Rivers.
Major Flood Warning For Eyre Creek and Minor Flood Warning For The Georgina River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Moonie River.
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Bulloo River.
Fire Weather Warning for Swan Inland North, Swan Inland South, Geographe, Capes, Brockman, and Blackwood.
Fire Weather Warning for Mid North, Riverland, and Murraylands.
Fire Weather Warning for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, and Central.
Major Flood Warning For The Flinders River.
Minor Flood Warning For The Lower Warrego River (Queensland).
Flood Warning For The Inland Rivers in South Australia.
Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (New South Wales).
Minor Flood Warning For The Dawson River.
Storms - Heatwave - Fire danger
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Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
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Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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