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Morning Weather - February 12 - Wally's Weather Australia

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Monsoon Update

With 07U labelled by the BOM moving into the Gulf over the next 4 days, and the chance of some good rain but short-lived for Townsville looks better for Thursday to Friday. The system is likely to head South from there but still waiting for consistent alignment over the next day. Tomorrow the rain should pick up over the top end of NT and the next day into the Gulf.



National

Troughs will bring showers and storms to the tropics and western Queensland. Onshore winds could bring showers to the Queensland and New South Wales coasts. A trough over the west is expected to draw hot winds over Western Australia's north and west, as well as South Australia. A ridge of high pressure will maintain dry conditions elsewhere.

Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp


State

Western parts of the state have a weak trough causing unsettled conditions. Eastern and southern parts have a high-pressure ridge bringing showers to the east coast. A weak trough in the Peninsula and Gulf of Carpentaria may become the monsoon trough. A tropical low located in the western Top End may move east into the Gulf of Carpentaria. This will increase rainfall in Far North Queensland starting from Thursday.

ACCESS (Values are rainfall over 3 hours)


4-day

  • Monday: Sunday's weather in Queensland: isolated showers and thunderstorms in the western and southern inland, Gulf Country and Peninsula, becoming scattered in southwestern and the Peninsula. Possible severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall in southwest Queensland. Isolated to scattered showers in eastern districts south of Cairns. Partly cloudy elsewhere. Light to moderate northeast to southeasterly winds, fresh at times along the east coast south of Mackay. Winds in the northern Peninsula and Torres Strait becoming light northwesterly.

  • Tuesday: Some showers and thunderstorms in certain areas, with temperatures below average in the west and south, and near average in other areas.

  • Wednesday: Patchy rain and thunderstorms across the state, becoming more isolated in western and southeastern Queensland. Showers becoming widespread with occasional heavy rain in the Peninsula. Northwest experiencing below-average temperatures, while other regions are near average.

  • Thursday: Channel Country sunny. scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms elsewhere. Rain likely on the Peninsula and North Tropical Coast with heavy falls possible. Temperatures below average in the northwest, average elsewhere.


North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:

Max temperature: 30, Min temperature: 19-24, Wind speed: Light, Wind direction: Easterly, Rainfall: Showers likely, Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.

Herbert and Lower Burdekin:

The maximum temperature is 30-35 with a minimum temperature in the low to mid 20s, wind speed becoming light, wind direction becoming east to northeasterly, slight chance of a shower, chance of a thunderstorm inland, and partly cloudy.

Central Coast and Whitsundays:

Max temperature: 34, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: 15 to 25 km/h, Wind direction: east to southeasterly, Rainfall: medium chance of showers, Partly cloudy.

Peninsula:

Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: N/A, Rainfall: High chance of showers, Thunderstorm: Yes, Other: Partly cloudy.

Gulf Country:

Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: mid 20s, Wind speed: light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h then light, Rainfall: high chance of showers near the coast, medium chance elsewhere, Other: partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.

Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:

Max temperature: low to high 30s; Min temperature: low to mid 20s; Wind speed: light becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h; Wind direction: east to northeasterly; Rainfall: near zero chance except slight chance of shower in the north at night; Other: partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.

Capricornia:

Max temperature: low 30s, min temperature: low 20s, wind speed: east to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h, wind direction: east to southeasterly, rainfall: medium chance of showers, other: partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.

Central Highlands and Coalfields:

Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening, Wind direction: easterly, Rainfall: medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening, Other: Mostly sunny morning, chance of thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, overnight temperatures falling to low 20s.

Central West:

Max temperature: 31 to 38, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 20 to 30 km/h from east to northeasterly, Wind direction: east to northeasterly, Rainfall: High chance of showers south of Longreach, medium chance elsewhere, Other: Partly cloudy with a chance of severe thunderstorms.

North West:

Max temperature: mid to high 30s, min temperature: mid 20s, wind speed: 15 to 20 km/h, wind direction: east to northeasterly, rainfall: partly cloudy with a medium chance of showers, other: chance of thunderstorm from late morning.

Channel Country:

Max temperature of 33 to 38, min temperature in the mid 20s, wind speed of 15 to 25 km/h from east to northeasterly, partly cloudy with showers and a chance of thunderstorm.

Maranoa and Warrego:

Max temperature: 31 to 36, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening, Wind direction: east to northeasterly, Rainfall: slight chance of showers in the east, Partly cloudy with a high chance of showers in the west, The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe.

Darling Downs and Granite Belt:

Max temperature: 35°C, Min temperature: 18-21°C, Wind speed: easterly 20-30 km/h, Wind direction: easterly, Rainfall: near zero chance of rain, Other: mostly sunny with slight chance of shower in southeast, thunderstorm chance near NSW border in late morning and afternoon.

Wide Bay and Burnett:

The weather tomorrow will have a max temperature of around 30, a min temperature of 19-22, with light winds becoming east to southeasterly 20-30 km/h, partly cloudy with high chance of showers, medium chance elsewhere, and chance of thunderstorm in the north.

Southeast Coast:

Max temperature: 30, Min temperature: 19-22, Wind speed: 20-30 km/h (E to SE), Rainfall: Mornings/afternoons likely showers


WEATHER WARNINGS

  • Strong Wind Warning for Gascoyne, Geraldton, Bunbury Geographe, and Leeuwin coasts.

  • Fire Weather Warning for Capes.

  • Strong Wind Warning for Monday for East Gippsland Coast.

  • Moderate Flood Warning For The Balonne River.

  • Moderate Flood Warning For The Diamantina River.

  • Minor Flood Warning For The Barcoo River And Cooper Creek.

  • Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Queensland).

  • Major Flood Warning For The Nicholson River.

  • Moderate Flood Warning For The Moonie River.

  • Fire Weather Warning for Swan Inland North and Swan Inland South.

  • Minor Flood Warning For The Lower Warrego River (Queensland).

  • Major Flood Warning For Eyre Creek And Minor Flood Warning For The Georgina River.

  • Minor Flood Warning For The Dawson River.

  • Final Flood Warning For The Bulloo River.

  • Major Flood Warning For The Flinders River.

  • Flood Warning For The Inland Rivers in South Australia.

  • Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (New South Wales).

Storms - Heatwave - Fire danger


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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)

State maps by Windy (Windy.com)

Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)

Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )


Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.


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