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Morning Weather - February 11 - Wally's Weather Australia

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Monsoon Update

With 07U labelled by the BOM moving into the Gulf over the next 4 days, there is also the chance it will head South East into the corner of the Gulf which would shift the convergence to around Townsville and produce one to two days of heavier rain. However, only two of the models are in sync and even at 4 days they are not fully in sync. So it's going to be another slow watch. But time to mow the lawn as next weekend you may not get the chance.



National

Troughs are expected to bring showers and storms to the tropics and central Queensland while drawing heat towards the west coast. Onshore winds will bring some showers to the Queensland and northeast New South Wales coasts. A ridge of high pressure will result in dry conditions elsewhere.

Synoptic | Temp/Rain | Wind | Sea Surface Temp


State

Inland trough in western Queensland brings unsettled weather for several days. Ridge over eastern Queensland brings showers to east coast. Weak trough in Peninsula and Gulf of Carpentaria may deepen next week, possibly bringing monsoon conditions. Potential for tropical low in Gulf of Carpentaria.

ACCESS (Values are rainfall over 3 hours)


4-day

  • Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms in western and southern inland Queensland and the Gulf Country. Isolated showers in eastern districts, with light to moderate winds.

  • Monday: Expect showers and thunderstorms in parts of Queensland, with scattered showers in some areas. Maximum temperatures will be below average in the west and south, and near average elsewhere.

  • Tuesday: Few showers on the east coast, becoming more widespread on the Central Queensland Coast. Some showers and thunderstorms in other areas, becoming scattered in parts of southwestern Queensland, the Gulf Country, and the Peninsula. Temperatures below average in the west, near average everywhere else.

  • Wednesday: Isolated showers in southeast Queensland. Scattered showers and thunderstorms elsewhere, with fewer in the Channel Country and more widespread in the Peninsula. Cooler in the northwest, normal temperatures elsewhere.


North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:

Max temperature reaching around 30°C, min temperature falling to between 18 and 24°C, wind speed becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h, wind direction becoming light in the evening, slight chance of a shower likely in the afternoon and evening, chance of a thunderstorm in the north from late morning, light winds overnight.

Herbert and Lower Burdekin:

Max temperature: 30 to 35; Min temperature: low 20s; Wind speed: light winds becoming 15 to 25 km/h; Wind direction: east to northeasterly; Rainfall: medium chance of showers near the coast, slight chance elsewhere; Other: Mostly sunny.

Central Coast and Whitsundays:

Max temperature: 30-35°C, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: 15-25 km/h turning to 20-30 km/h, Wind direction: southeasterly to easterly, Rainfall: medium chance of showers along coastal fringe, slight chance elsewhere, Cloud cover: Partly cloudy.

Peninsula:

Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: light, Wind direction: variable, Rainfall: Very high chance of showers north of Coen, medium chance elsewhere, Other: Partly cloudy with chance of thunderstorm.

Gulf Country:

The weather today will have a max temperature in the low to mid 30s, a minimum temperature in the mid 20s, light winds, a chance of showers and thunderstorms, and will be partly cloudy.

Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:

Max temperature in the mid to high 30s, min temperature 19-23, wind NE 15-20 km/h becoming E, slight shower chance, chance of thunderstorm in morning and afternoon, mostly sunny.

Capricornia:

Max temperature: low to mid 30s, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: easterly 20 to 30 km/h, Wind direction: southeasterly turning easterly, Rainfall: Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. Mostly sunny morning. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s.

Central Highlands and Coalfields:

Max temperature: 30 to 36, Min temperature: low 20s, Wind speed: light becoming 15-25 km/h, Wind direction: east to southeasterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.

Central West:

Max temperature: 38, Min temperature: 21, Wind speed: 15-25 km/h, Wind direction: east to northeasterly, Rainfall: chance of showers, Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.

North West:

Max temperature: mid to high 30s; Min temperature: low to mid 20s; Wind speed: light; Wind direction: NA; Rainfall: slight chance of a shower and thunderstorm; Other: partly cloudy with overnight temperatures falling.

Channel Country:

Max temperature: mid to high 30s, Min temperature: mid to high 20s, Wind speed: 15-25 km/h, Wind direction: east to southeast, Rainfall: High chance of showers in the northeast, medium chance elsewhere, Other: Partly cloudy, chance of thunderstorm.

Maranoa and Warrego:

Max temperature: 31-36, Min temperature: low to mid 20s, Wind speed: easterly 15-25 km/h becoming light in the evening then becoming easterly 15-20 km/h in the late evening, Wind direction: easterly, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with high chance of showers in the northwest and medium chance elsewhere, Other: Chance of thunderstorm.

Darling Downs and Granite Belt:

Max temperature: 29 to 34, Min temperature: 19 to 22, Wind speed: easterly 20 to 30 km/h, Wind direction: easterly, Rainfall: Partly cloudy with medium chance of showers over Granite Belt and slight chance elsewhere

Wide Bay and Burnett:

Max temperature: 30; Min temperature: 19-22; Wind speed: 15-30 km/h; Wind direction: South to southeasterly, then east to southeasterly; Rainfall: Partly cloudy with high chance of showers along the coastal fringe and medium chance elsewhere.

Southeast Coast:

Max temperature: 30, Min temperature: 19-22, Wind speed: 15-20 km/h becoming light before dawn then 20-30 km/h, Wind direction: south to southeasterly becoming southeasterly, Rainfall: high chance of showers, Partly cloudy.


WEATHER WARNINGS

  • Strong Wind Warning for Port Phillip, Gippsland Lakes & Central, Central Gippsland, and East Gippsland coasts.

  • Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Gascoyne, Bunbury Geographe, and Leeuwin coasts.

  • Fire Weather Warning for various regions in Western Australia.

  • Hazardous Surf Warning for Sunday for Macquarie, Hunter, Sydney, and Illawarra coasts.

  • Heatwave Warning for Western Australia.

  • Heatwave Warning for Victoria.

  • Moderate Flood Warning For The Balonne River.

  • Major Flood Warning For The Nicholson River.

  • Minor Flood Warning For The Lower Warrego River (Queensland).

  • Major Flood Warning For Eyre Creek And Minor Flood Warning For The Georgina River.

  • Moderate Flood Warning For The Moonie River.

  • Minor Flood Warning For The Dawson River.

  • Final Flood Warning For The Bulloo River.

  • Moderate Flood Warning For The Diamantina River.

  • Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (Queensland).

  • Major Flood Warning For The Flinders River.

  • Minor Flood Warning For Cooper Creek.

  • Flood Warning For The Inland Rivers in South Australia.

  • Minor Flood Warning For The Paroo River (New South Wales).

Storms - Heatwave - Fire danger


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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)

State maps by Windy (Windy.com)

Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)

Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )


Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.


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