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𝟭𝟯𝟬𝟬 𝟰 𝗚𝗘𝗡𝗘𝗦𝗜𝗦 (𝟭𝟯𝟬𝟬 𝟰𝟰𝟯 𝟲𝟯𝟳)
National Synoptic Situation
National Temperature and Rainfall
Rain typically refers to steady, continuous precipitation that lasts for a longer period, sometimes hours or even days. It can vary in intensity, but it's usually more consistent and widespread.
Showers, on the other hand, are shorter bursts of rain, often intermittent. They can be heavy but usually don't last long. Showers are more sporadic and may be followed by dry periods or other types of weather, like sun or clouds.
State conditions
QLD:
So, it looks like New Zealand has decided to flex its muscles with a high extending a weak ridge along the coast. Meanwhile, a not-so-impressive trough is hanging out over the southern interior, probably feeling a bit left out. But wait, here comes a more vigorous trough from the southwest, ready to show them how it's done. This new trough is set to sweep through central and southern parts of Queensland over the weekend, making a grand entrance before gracefully moving offshore on Sunday. The northern part of the trough will be a bit clingy, lingering in the interior into next week, while a ridge casually strolls along the east coast. So, get ready for some weather drama as these atmospheric characters make their way across the state. Time to dust off the umbrella and maybe cancel that beach picnic you had planned. Mother Nature sure knows how to keep us on our toes!
NSW and ACT:
Looks like NSW is in for some mixed weather this weekend. A trough here, a ridge there, a cold front sneaking in from the south - it's like a weather buffet. But don't worry, the rainfall should ease up, so you might actually be able to leave your umbrella at home for once. Just be prepared for that sneaky southerly change on Saturday afternoon. And hey, at least we'll end the weekend with a high pressure system crossing the Bass Strait. Who knew weather could be so entertaining?
VIC:
The weather in Victoria is feeling a bit indecisive at the moment. We've got a weak high pressure ridge chilling out over the south east coast, while a low pressure system and cold front are causing some drama in central parts of the state. The cold front will make its grand exit to the east this evening, leaving us to deal with the aftermath until early Friday afternoon. But don't worry, a new high pressure system is coming to save the day on Friday, bringing with it a cool southerly airstream that will keep us feeling refreshed over the weekend and into next week. So grab your sweater and get ready for some breezy days ahead!
SA:
Well, it looks like a high pressure system is making its way over Western Australia, bringing with it some ridging action along the coast. This high is slowly meandering eastward, eventually settling south of the Bight by Saturday and then cozying up over Tasmania by Monday morning. And just when you thought the party was over, a trough decides to crash the party in the west. Mother nature sure has a way of keeping us on our toes, doesn't she? So get ready to keep an eye on those weather updates and plan accordingly, because who knows what she'll throw at us next!
WA:
Well, folks, it looks like severe tropical cyclone Zelia is taking a leisurely stroll off the Pilbara coast before deciding to turn south and crash the party on Friday. This system comes complete with a fancy low pressure trough extending all the way to the Kimberley. So, get ready to batten down the hatches and maybe invest in some extra sunscreen for this unexpected guest.
TAS:
Prepare for a change in winds as a cold front sweeps in from the west, cooling things down on Friday with a brisk westerly flow. Expect a shift to southerly winds on Saturday as a high sets up shop south of the Bight and the low reforms near the Tasman Sea. By Sunday, the high will be making its way towards Tasmania, causing the low to fizzle out by Monday. Stay tuned for more exciting weather updates!
NT:
Well folks, it looks like the monsoon is taking a little vacation up north this weekend, leaving the Top End feeling a bit cooler with some patchy rain. The cloud band will be throwing in the towel on Saturday, so expect drier conditions in the southeast thanks to some southeasterly winds. So grab your umbrellas and prepare for a little bit of everything this weekend in the NT!
National Weather Warnings
New South Wales
Victoria
Queensland
Western Australia
South Australia
Tasmania
Northern Territory
National Storms and Rain Accumulation outlook
Four Day Forecasts
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NQ Rainfall 24 Accumulated (ACCESS G)
Temperature and Rainfall Forecast - Access-G
Friday, 14th February
Well, it seems like the temperatures are going to be reaching quite a peak in the Channel Country, Maranoa, and Warrego regions. So, you might want to break out the sunscreen and extra water bottles if you plan on venturing out there. Remember, hydration is key when facing the scorching heat. Stay cool, folks!
Saturday, 15th February
Grab your umbrella and sunscreen, folks! The weather gods are feeling a bit indecisive today. Expect some clouds in the southwest, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms scattered haphazardly elsewhere. Don't be surprised if you find yourself caught in a downpour over the far northern Peninsula - Mother Nature loves to keep us on our toes. Be on the lookout for severe thunderstorms around central and southeast Queensland, but don't worry, Mackay is safe (for now). Temperatures will be all over the place, with some areas feeling like they're melting while others are just chillin' below average. And if you're up north, get ready to sweat it out with a potential heatwave on the North Tropical Coast. So, grab your raincoat, your hat, and your fan - you never know what weather shenanigans are in store for us today. Stay safe out there, weather warriors!
Sunday, 16th February
Grab your umbrella and sunscreen, folks! The weather is looking a bit indecisive today. Partly cloudy in some areas, but don't be surprised if you get caught in a random shower or thunderstorm. If you're in Cape York Peninsula, be prepared for some scattered thunderstorms. Temperatures are all over the place - below average in the southern interior, near average on the Gulf Coast, and above average everywhere else. So basically, dress in layers and be ready for anything. And if you're on the North Tropical Coast, brace yourself for some severe heatwave conditions. It's like Mother Nature decided to turn up the heat just for fun. Stay cool out there, folks!
Monday, 17th February
Grab your umbrellas, folks! You might need them for those isolated showers scattered around. And don't forget your sunscreen - those above-average temperatures in the northwest and northeast coast are nothing to joke about. Stay dry and stay cool out there!
Region Round-up - BOM
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands
Region Forecast: Expect some clouds to block out the sun and potentially ruin your picnic plans. There's a decent shot of rain coming through, so maybe bring an umbrella if you don't want to get wet. Don't be surprised if you hear some thunder rumbling in the distance - it's just nature's way of adding a little excitement to your day. The winds will be gentle, almost like a soothing breeze. As night falls, temperatures will drop to the 20s, so make sure to bring a light jacket if you plan on staying out late. During the day, it's going to be hot enough to make you question why you ever complained about the cold.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Cairns | ⛅ | 25 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Atherton | 🌧 | 20 | 31 | Possible shower. |
Cooktown | 🌧 | 24 | 34 | Possible shower. |
Innisfail | ⛅ | 24 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Mareeba | 🌧 | 22 | 33 | Possible shower. |
Herbert and Lower Burdekin
Region Forecast: Looks like we've got ourselves a classic case of "mostly sunny with a chance of a shower" situation happening here. Don't get too excited though, because there's also a slight chance of a thunderstorm later on. But hey, at least the winds will be light, so you won't have to worry about your hat flying off. As the night rolls around, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, so make sure to grab an extra blanket before hitting the hay. And if you're planning on going outside during the day, be prepared for those low to mid 30s temperatures. Just remember to stay hydrated and maybe invest in a good ol' fashioned sun hat.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Townsville | ⛅ | 25 | 32 | Mostly sunny. |
Ayr | ⛅ | 23 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Ingham | ⛅ | 23 | 34 | Partly cloudy. |
Central Coast and Whitsundays
Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a classic case of partly cloudy skies with a medium chance of showers, especially in the afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms might crash the party inland starting late morning. Don't worry, the winds will be as light as a feather. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low 20s while daytime temps will hit the low to mid 30s. So grab your umbrella and sunscreen, and prepare for a day of unpredictable weather!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Mackay | ⛅ | 24 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Bowen | ⛅ | 24 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Peninsula
Region Forecast: Looks like we're in for some classic summer weather, folks. Expect a mix of sun and clouds with a high chance of showers up north near Coen, and a slightly lower chance elsewhere. There's even a possibility of a thunderstorm to keep things interesting. Light winds will help keep things moving along smoothly. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, while daytime highs will reach a balmy 30 to 35. So grab your umbrella and sunscreen, and prepare for a day of weather that's as unpredictable as your last blind date.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Weipa | 🌧 | 25 | 30 | Showers. |
Coen | 🌧 | 25 | 32 | Showers. Possible storm. |
Palmerville | 🌧 | 24 | 34 | Possible shower. |
Thursday Island | 🌧 | 25 | 30 | Showers. |
Gulf Country
Region Forecast: Well, it seems like we might have some visitors in the form of showers today, so don't forget your umbrella or risk a surprise shower. There's also a chance of a thunderstorm, so if you hear any booming sounds, don't worry - it's just nature saying hello. Expect light winds to accompany the show. As for temperatures, it's going to be a bit of a rollercoaster - dropping to the mid to high 20s overnight, then shooting back up to the mid to high 30s during the day. So, make sure to dress in layers or risk sweating like a turkey on Thanksgiving.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Normanton | 🌧 | 26 | 35 | Shower or two. |
Burketown | 🌧 | 26 | 38 | Possible shower. |
Doomadgee | ⛅ | 26 | 39 | Partly cloudy. |
Kowanyama | 🌧 | 25 | 33 | Shower or two. |
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders
Region Forecast: Grab your umbrella and your sunscreen because we've got a mixed bag of weather coming your way! Expect some clouds, a decent chance of showers in the late morning, and even the possibility of a thunderstorm – oh, how exciting! Winds will be all over the place, starting from the north and ending up in the west to northwest direction. Temperatures will be dropping overnight, so snuggle up in your mid-20s, but brace yourself for the heat during the day with temperatures ranging from 34 to a toasty 39 degrees. Time to break out the summer wardrobe and be prepared for whatever Mother Nature throws at us!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Charters Towers | 🌧 | 22 | 35 | Possible shower or storm. |
Georgetown | 🌧 | 24 | 34 | Shower or two. Possible storm. |
Capricornia
Region Forecast: Get your umbrellas ready, folks, because we've got a medium chance of showers coming our way, especially in the afternoon and evening. And if you're feeling lucky, there's a chance of a thunderstorm popping up inland in the late morning. Don't worry about getting blown away, though, because we'll start off with light winds that will gradually become east to northeasterly at a breezy 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. By the late evening, those winds will calm down and become light. As for temperatures, prepare for a mild night with lows in the low to mid 20s. During the day, things will heat up with highs in the low to mid 30s. So, grab your sunscreen and your raincoat, because it's going to be an interesting day weather-wise!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Gladstone | 🌧 | 24 | 32 | Possible shower. |
Rockhampton | 🌧 | 23 | 33 | Possible shower. |
Biloela | 🌧 | 21 | 36 | Shower or two developing. |
Yeppoon | 🌧 | 25 | 31 | Possible shower. |
Central Highlands and Coalfields
Region Forecast: Looks like we've got some interesting weather ahead - partly cloudy with a medium chance of showers, especially in the late afternoon and evening. There's even a possibility of a thunderstorm, so you might want to keep an eye out for that, especially if you're in the west. Winds will be doing a bit of a dance, starting off from the north to northeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h, then switching to north to northwesterly in the middle of the day before finally becoming light in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures will drop to the low 20s, while daytime temperatures will climb to the low to mid 30s. So, grab your umbrella and sunscreen, folks - it's going to be an interesting day!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Emerald | 🌧 | 23 | 35 | Showers. Possible late storm. |
Clermont | 🌧 | 23 | 35 | Shower or two. Possible storm. |
Moranbah | 🌧 | 22 | 33 | Shower or two. Possible storm. |
Central West
Region Forecast: Get ready for a mixed bag of weather in Longreach and surrounding areas. There's a medium chance of showers to the east, but don't worry, only a slight chance elsewhere. Keep an eye out for thunderstorms, because who doesn't love a bit of drama? Winds will be doing their thing, starting from the north and then meandering their way to the northwest and back again. Overnight temperatures will be dropping to a balmy 23 to 29 degrees, so make sure you have your fans ready. Daytime temperatures will be sizzling, reaching a scorching 36 to 43 degrees. Stay cool, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Longreach | 🌧 | 27 | 43 | Shower or two. Possible storm. |
Barcaldine | 🌧 | 26 | 41 | Shower or two. Possible storm. |
Winton | 🌧 | 27 | 43 | Possible shower or storm. |
North West
Region Forecast: Expect some sunshine with a sprinkle of rain possible. Don't be surprised if a thunderstorm decides to crash the party in the morning and afternoon. Winds will be all over the place, starting off from the north to northwesterly direction before doing a little dance to the southeast to southwesterly side. Temperatures will be dropping to the mid to high 20s overnight, so make sure to have your fan or air conditioning ready. Daytime temperatures will be a toasty 40 degrees, so stay cool and hydrated out there!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Mount Isa | ☀️ | 26 | 41 | Sunny. |
Channel Country
Region Forecast: Here's the weather report for tomorrow: a few clouds, a tiny possibility of rain near New South Wales, and absolutely no rain elsewhere. There might be a thunderstorm in the east during the morning and afternoon, so maybe pack an umbrella just in case. Oh, and watch out for raised dust – that's always a fun surprise. The winds will be blowing from the south to the south-west at a brisk 25 to 40 km/h. As for temperatures, it'll be a balmy 30 degrees overnight and a toasty 36 to 42 degrees during the day. So, grab your sunscreen and stay hydrated, because you're in for a scorcher!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Birdsville | ⛅ | 27 | 35 | Partly cloudy. |
Thargomindah | ⛅ | 31 | 39 | Partly cloudy. |
Maranoa and Warrego
Region Forecast: Grab your umbrella, folks! We've got a mixed bag of weather coming your way. Expect some clouds, a good chance of showers in the east, and a slight chance elsewhere. Oh, and don't be surprised if a thunderstorm decides to crash the party - it might even get a little rowdy. Winds will be all over the place, starting from the northwest and ending up in the south by the afternoon. Overnight, temperatures will drop down to a balmy 22 to 29 degrees, but don't worry - daytime temperatures will be scorching at around 40 degrees. So, get ready to sweat it out and keep that raincoat handy!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Charleville | 🌧 | 27 | 40 | Possible shower or storm. |
Roma | 🌧 | 22 | 39 | Showers. Possible storm. |
St George | 🌧 | 23 | 37 | Shower or two. Possible storm. |
Cunnamulla | ⛅ | 28 | 41 | Partly cloudy. |
Darling Downs and Granite Belt
Region Forecast: Looks like you might want to pack an umbrella if you're heading out west today. There's a high chance of showers, with a side of thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds will be coming from the northeast at a breezy 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 18 to 22 degrees, while daytime highs will reach a toasty 31 to 36. So grab your raincoat and sunglasses, because you never know what kind of weather you'll get in this crazy world!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Dalby | 🌧 | 19 | 33 | Shower or two. |
Goondiwindi | 🌧 | 21 | 35 | Shower or two. |
Toowoomba | ⛅ | 19 | 29 | Partly cloudy. |
Warwick | ⛅ | 18 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Stanthorpe | 🌧 | 17 | 27 | Possible shower. |
Wide Bay and Burnett
Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a mixed bag of weather coming our way. There's a decent shot of showers popping up around late morning, so don't forget your umbrella. And if you hear some thunder rumbling in the distance in the early afternoon, don't be surprised - there's a chance of a thunderstorm inland. As for the winds, they'll start off light but then pick up to east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon before calming down in the evening. Just a heads up, temperatures will drop overnight to between 19 and 22 degrees, so maybe grab a light jacket before heading out. Daytime temperatures will hit the low to mid 30s, so make sure to stay hydrated and slap on some sunscreen.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Bundaberg | 🌧 | 23 | 31 | Shower or two. |
Gympie | 🌧 | 21 | 31 | Possible shower. |
Hervey Bay | 🌧 | 23 | 31 | Possible shower. |
Kingaroy | ⛅ | 19 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Maryborough | 🌧 | 22 | 31 | Possible shower. |
Gayndah | ⛅ | 21 | 34 | Partly cloudy. |
Southeast Coast
Region Forecast: Well, it seems like we might have a sprinkle or two lingering around, mainly in the late morning and afternoon. Don't worry, the winds will be as light as a feather. Just remember to grab a sweater as temperatures will drop to 19-22 overnight and climb back up to a toasty 30 during the day. Just another day in paradise, right?
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Beaudesert | ⛅ | 20 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Brisbane | ⛅ | 23 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Gatton | ⛅ | 21 | 32 | Partly cloudy. |
Ipswich | ⛅ | 21 | 32 | Partly cloudy. |
Logan Central | 🌧 | 21 | 30 | Possible shower. |
Maroochydore | 🌧 | 23 | 29 | Possible shower. |
Redcliffe | 🌧 | 23 | 29 | Possible shower. |
Surfers Paradise | 🌧 | 21 | 29 | Possible shower. |
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.