Energised Daily Forecast - Feb 12 - Wally's Weather Australia

12 hours ago17 min read

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Four Day Forecast | QLD Region and City Round-Up

National Synoptic Situation

National Temperature and Rainfall

Rain typically refers to steady, continuous precipitation that lasts for a longer period, sometimes hours or even days. It can vary in intensity, but it's usually more consistent and widespread.
Showers, on the other hand, are shorter bursts of rain, often intermittent. They can be heavy but usually don't last long. Showers are more sporadic and may be followed by dry periods or other types of weather, like sun or clouds.

State conditions

QLD:

Well folks, it looks like we've got the monsoon trough doing its thing down at Cape York Peninsula. It's gonna shift up north tomorrow, so watch out for that. There's also a tropical low hanging out near the northeast coast, but don't worry, it's gonna drift away soon enough. Over on the east coast, there's a weak ridge just chillin' south of the trough. And down near the New South Wales border, we've got a slow-moving trough causing some trouble in the southern interior. Keep an eye out for the next trough coming in from the southwest - it's gonna make its way through central and southeastern Queensland later this week and into the weekend. So grab your umbrellas and hold onto your hats, folks!

NSW and ACT:

Well, it looks like we've got a couple of troughs hanging around, one near the coast and another up north. They're bringing some showers and thunderstorms our way, but don't worry - they'll start to fizzle out by midweek. But hold onto your hats, because a cold front is on its way with its trusty sidekick, a trough. They're planning to crash our state later in the week and stick around through the weekend. Expect more showers and storms before they make their grand exit, leaving us with a cool, windy, and dry change in the weather. So grab your umbrella and sweater, it's going to be a wild ride!

VIC:

Well, it looks like we've got a high pressure system doing the slow dance over the Tasman Sea while a low pressure system and cold front are throwing a party down south near Western Australia. The cold front is going to crash into Victoria on Thursday and then make a swift exit to the east by Friday. After the front leaves, a new high pressure system will swoop in like a superhero to save the day, setting up camp south of the Bight and heading southeast for the weekend. So, get ready for some weather acrobatics in the coming days, folks!

SA:

So, we've got a low pressure trough just hanging out in the far northeast, not really going anywhere. Meanwhile, a high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is playing boss and telling those winds to go northeast to north over SA. But hold on to your hats because a cold front is on its way from the west, scheduled to crash the party on Wednesday and Thursday. After that drama, a high pressure system will come in and clean up the mess over the waters to the south in the next few days. So, buckle up and enjoy the ride as we watch these weather systems do their thing!

WA:

Well, isn't this just lovely news for the central Pilbara and northwest Kimberley coast? A low pressure trough is hanging out, making friends with Tropical Low 18U offshore. They're planning on taking a little vacation together, potentially turning into a Tropical Cyclone by Wednesday. How exciting! They'll be heading towards the Pilbara coast, but don't worry, they'll be taking their time and getting stronger on Thursday and Friday. Looks like the east Pilbara or southwest Kimberley coast might have some unexpected guests soon. Time to break out the party hats and umbrellas!

TAS:

Well, it looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive this week in Tasmania. We've got a high pressure system doing its thing over the Tasman Sea, directing some northeasterly winds our way. But hold on to your hats, because those winds are going to ramp up and warm things up on Wednesday. Then, just when you thought you had it all figured out, along comes a cold front from the west on Thursday. Say goodbye to those warm northerly winds, because we're about to get hit with a cooler westerly stream. It's like Mother Nature is playing a game of weather ping-pong with us. And the fun doesn't stop there. By Friday, that cold front will have crossed Tasmania, bringing even cooler temperatures with it. So make sure you've got your winter woollies at the ready. But wait, there's more! On Saturday, a high is building south of the Bight while a low deepens over the Tasman Sea. This means we can expect a colder southerly stream to develop. It's like Mother Nature is throwing us a curveball just for kicks. So, in summary, get ready for a rollercoaster of weather this week in Tasmania. And remember, always be prepared for the unexpected when it comes to the great outdoors.

NT:

Well, folks, it looks like the NT is in for a wet and wild week ahead. The monsoon flow is making its grand appearance up north, bringing with it some much-needed showers and thunderstorms. Down south, it's going to be hotter than a kangaroo on a BBQ until Thursday. But fear not, a cloud band and southerly change are on the horizon to cool things down. So grab your umbrellas and sunscreen, it's going to be a weather rollercoaster this week in the NT!

National Weather Warnings

National Storms and Rain Accumulation outlook

Four Day Forecasts

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NQ Rainfall 24 Accumulated (ACCESS G)

The low will take away the rainfall over the next few days as well as the monsoon trough as it shifts North. And there does not seem any new systems just yet that will impact, but keep an eye out in the Coral Sea.

Temperature and Rainfall Forecast - Access-G

Wednesday, 12th February

Looks like there will be some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms up north, so make sure to bring an umbrella if you're in that area. Watch out for possible severe thunderstorms in the southern inland west - might want to stay indoors and avoid any flying cows. Winds will be light to moderate, except for the western Peninsula and tropical east coast where they might get a bit feisty. And don't forget your sunscreen, because those maximum temperatures will be near average, but could be above average in some spots - so you might be feeling the heat more than you'd like. Stay dry, stay safe, and remember, weather is just nature's way of keeping us on our toes.

Thursday, 13th February

Looks like we've got a mixed bag of weather happening across the state today. Expect some isolated to scattered showers in most areas, with a chance of a thunderstorm popping up north of Townsville and down south between Longreach and Rockhampton. For those up north on the Peninsula, you might want to grab an umbrella as showers are expected to be more widespread with some moderate falls possible. And watch out for severe thunderstorms in the central and southern interior - so if you're around Blackall or west of St George, maybe stay indoors if you can. Temperatures are all over the place too. It's going to be above average in the west, well above average in the southwest, slightly below average in the southeast interior, and pretty much near average everywhere else. So make sure to dress accordingly and maybe pack a few extra layers just in case. Stay safe out there, folks!

Friday, 14th February

Looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive today, with some isolated to scattered showers and the occasional thunderstorm thrown into the mix. If you happen to be in the eastern districts south of Townsville, you might want to keep an eye out for those showers turning into a full-blown storm. Over in the northern Peninsula, it looks like things might get a bit wet with some moderate falls expected. And watch out for severe thunderstorms possibly making an appearance in the central and southern interior around Emerald to Roma. Temperatures are all over the place, with some areas experiencing above-average heat in the west and well above average in the central west and southern interior. So make sure to dress accordingly and stay hydrated, unless you want to feel like you're melting under the blazing sun.

Saturday, 15th February

Looks like we've got a mixed bag of weather today. In the far southwest, expect some clouds hanging around. Moving on to the rest of the region, we've got scattered showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Showers might get a bit heavy up north, so keep an umbrella handy. Now, here's where it gets interesting - there's a possibility of severe thunderstorms in central and southeast Queensland. But don't panic just yet, we're not exactly sure where they'll hit. As for temperatures, it's a bit of a rollercoaster. Down south, it's going to be cooler than usual. Up north and in the interior, things are heating up a bit. And for the rest of us, it's business as usual - not too hot, not too cold. So there you have it, folks. Grab your raincoat, keep an eye on the sky, and brace yourself for whatever Mother Nature decides to throw at us today. Stay safe out there!

Region Round-up - BOM

North Tropical Coast and Tablelands

Region Forecast: Get your raincoat and umbrella ready, folks! We've got some partly cloudy skies with a high chance of showers rolling in, especially in the morning and afternoon. And hey, there's even a chance of a thunderstorm to keep things interesting. Winds will be all over the place, starting from the northwest and ending up in the southeast to southwesterly direction. They'll be blowing at a gentle 15 to 20 km/h, eventually becoming light by late afternoon. As for temperatures, get ready for a mild night with lows in the low to mid 20s. During the day, it's going to heat up to a balmy 27 to 32 degrees. So, grab your sunscreen and stay hydrated out there!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Cairns	🌧	25	31	Showers.
Atherton	🌧	20	27	Showers.
Cooktown	🌧	25	33	Showers.
Innisfail	🌧	24	30	Showers.
Mareeba	🌧	22	30	Showers.

Herbert and Lower Burdekin

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got some clouds rolling in today, so you might want to grab an umbrella just in case. There's a decent chance of rain, especially in the morning and afternoon, so make sure you're prepared. And hey, there's even a possibility of a thunderstorm - how exciting! Winds will be light, so at least you won't have to worry about your hair getting messed up. Temperatures will drop to the low 20s tonight, so maybe grab a light blanket if you're feeling chilly. Daytime temperatures will hover around 30, so it looks like it's going to be a pretty average day weather-wise.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Townsville	🌧	24	31	Shower or two.
Ayr	🌧	23	30	Showers.
Ingham	🌧	23	31	Showers easing.

Central Coast and Whitsundays

Region Forecast: Looks like there's a 50/50 chance of rain today, mainly in the morning and afternoon. So, don't forget your umbrella if you don't want to get caught in a sudden downpour. The winds will be blowing from the east to southeasterly at a moderate speed of 15 to 25 km/h, but they'll calm down by the late evening. Temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s overnight, so you might want to bring a light jacket if you're planning on being out late. During the day, it's going to heat up to around 30 degrees, so make sure you stay hydrated and wear sunscreen if you're going to be out in the sun.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Mackay	🌧	24	30	Shower or two.
Bowen	🌧	23	31	Shower or two.

Peninsula

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a classic case of unpredictable weather on our hands today. Expect some clouds, a high chance of showers, and possibly even a thunderstorm. Don't worry though, the winds will be light and somewhat directionally challenged throughout the day. Temperatures will be dropping to the low to mid 20s overnight, so make sure to bring a sweater if you're out late. Daytime temperatures are expected to reach the low 30s, so maybe consider packing some sunscreen and a hat. Just another day in paradise, right?

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Weipa	🌧	25	31	Showers. Possible storm.
Coen	🌧	25	32	Showers. Possible storm.
Palmerville	🌧	24	30	Showers. Possible storm.
Thursday Island	🌧	27	31	Shower or two.

Gulf Country

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a pretty standard day ahead of us, folks. Expect some clouds hanging around, with a decent chance of rain up north and a slight chance elsewhere. There's also a possibility of a thunderstorm creeping in. Winds will start off light but will pick up to a gentle southeast to southwesterly breeze in the afternoon, before calming down in the evening. Temperatures will be dropping to the mid 20s overnight, so you might want to grab a light blanket. Daytime temperatures will be hitting the 33 to 38 mark, so make sure to stay hydrated and maybe bring along some sunscreen. Just another day in paradise, right?

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Normanton	🌧	26	35	Possible shower.
Burketown	⛅	25	37	Partly cloudy.
Doomadgee	⛅	25	38	Partly cloudy.
Kowanyama	🌧	25	32	Showers. Possible storm.

Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a smattering of clouds with a sprinkle of showers up north and a dash of thunderstorms thrown in for good measure. Winds will be playing a fun game of tag, starting off light and then picking up speed in the late afternoon before deciding to take a break in the evening. Overnight, temperatures will dip down to the low 20s, so make sure to grab an extra blanket for your toes. Daytime temperatures will be sizzling, reaching a toasty 32 to 37 degrees. Time to break out the sunscreen and stay hydrated, unless you want to turn into a human raisin.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Charters Towers	🌧	21	33	Possible shower.
Georgetown	⛅	22	33	Partly cloudy.

Capricornia

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a mixed bag of weather coming our way - partly cloudy with a slight chance of a shower. Don't worry, it's not enough to ruin your plans, just enough to keep you on your toes. Light winds will be making an appearance in the morning, gradually picking up speed to a breezy easterly 15 to 25 km/h. As the day turns to night, temperatures will be dropping to the low 20s, giving you a chance to cool off after a warm day. But don't get too comfortable, because daytime temperatures will be reaching a toasty 31 to 37 degrees. So make sure you've got your sunscreen and water bottle handy, because it's going to be a scorcher out there.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Gladstone	⛅	24	31	Partly cloudy.
Rockhampton	⛅	23	33	Partly cloudy.
Biloela	⛅	20	36	Partly cloudy.
Yeppoon	🌧	25	30	Possible shower.

Central Highlands and Coalfields

Region Forecast: Well, it looks like we've got a classic case of mostly sunny with a side of slight chance of a shower. If you happen to be in the south, be on the lookout for a potential thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening - it's like a bonus round of excitement! Light winds will be making their debut in the morning, switching to an east to northeasterly direction at a speed of 15 to 20 km/h. By evening, they'll be taking a bow and exiting stage left. As the sun sets, temperatures will be dropping to the low 20s, allowing for a cool night's sleep. During the day, expect highs in the low to mid 30s - perfect weather for frying an egg on the sidewalk.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Emerald	⛅	21	35	Mostly sunny.
Clermont	⛅	20	34	Partly cloudy.
Moranbah	⛅	21	33	Partly cloudy.

Central West

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a classic case of sunshine with a side of potential thunderstorms in the southeast later on. Expect some breezy north to northeasterly winds throughout the day, shifting gears to light in the middle before revving back up in the late evening. Temperatures will drop overnight to a mild 21 to 26, but don't get too comfortable because daytime highs will soar to a scorching 34 to 41. Time to break out the sunscreen and maybe grab an umbrella, just in case.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Longreach	☀️	23	40	Sunny.
Barcaldine	☀️	23	37	Sunny.
Winton	☀️	22	39	Sunny.

North West

Region Forecast: Looks like it's going to be another scorcher today, folks! Light breezes will switch to a slightly cooler north to northeasterly direction in the morning, but don't expect much relief. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, so make sure to crack open a window for some fresh air. Daytime highs will soar to around 40 degrees, so prepare to melt like a popsicle in the sun. Stay cool and hydrated, and remember, sweating is just your body crying for help.

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Mount Isa	☀️	23	39	Sunny.

Channel Country

Region Forecast: Looks like we've got a rollercoaster of winds coming our way today, folks! Starting off strong from the north to northwesterly at 25 to 35 km/h, then taking a leisurely stroll to the northwest to southwesterly at 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon, before finally deciding to head back north to northeast at 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a cool 30 degrees, so get those blankets ready. During the day, we're looking at scorching highs in the low to mid 40s, so make sure to stay hydrated and maybe invest in some sunscreen. It's all about balance, right?

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Birdsville	☀️	30	46	Sunny.
Thargomindah	☀️	28	44	Sunny.

Maranoa and Warrego

Region Forecast: Get ready to experience a medley of weather conditions today, folks. We've got a smorgasbord of partly cloudy skies, a sprinkle of showers in the east (mostly in the afternoon and evening), and a pinch of thunderstorms. If you're lucky, you might even get a side of severe storms in the late morning. As for the winds, they'll be playing musical chairs throughout the day - starting off northwest to northeasterly, then tending northwest to southwesterly, and finally ending up northeast to southeasterly by the evening. It's like a weather version of Twister! Overnight temperatures will be dropping to a balmy 22 to 27 degrees, so make sure to tuck yourself in nice and snug. And don't forget to crank up the air conditioning during the day, as temperatures are expected to soar to a scorching 36 to 42 degrees. Stay cool out there, folks!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Charleville	⛅	25	39	Partly cloudy.
Roma	🌧	23	38	Possible shower or storm.
St George	🌧	24	36	Shower or two. Possible storm.
Cunnamulla	☀️	27	42	Sunny.

Darling Downs and Granite Belt

Region Forecast: Grab your umbrella and maybe a lightning rod because we've got a high chance of showers, with thunderstorms potentially making an appearance. The winds are feeling a bit northeasterly at 20 to 30 km/h, so hold onto your hats. Expect overnight temperatures to drop to between 19 and 23, with daytime temperatures reaching a balmy 31 to 36. Time to break out the rain boots and sunscreen, folks!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Dalby	🌧	20	33	Shower or two.
Goondiwindi	🌧	22	34	Showers. Possible storm.
Toowoomba	🌧	19	28	Shower or two.
Warwick	🌧	19	31	Showers. Possible storm.
Stanthorpe	🌧	18	26	Showers. Possible storm.

Wide Bay and Burnett

Region Forecast: Looks like Mother Nature might be feeling a bit indecisive today, with a slight chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm thrown in for good measure. Best to keep an umbrella handy, especially in the afternoon and evening when the rain is most likely to make an appearance. Light winds will be swirling around in the morning before settling in from the east at 15 to 25 km/h. As for temperatures, expect a balmy night with lows between 19 and 22 degrees, while daytime highs will be in the low to mid 30s. So grab your sunscreen and stay hydrated, it's shaping up to be a warm one out there!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Bundaberg	⛅	23	32	Partly cloudy.
Gympie	⛅	21	32	Partly cloudy.
Hervey Bay	⛅	23	32	Partly cloudy.
Kingaroy	🌧	19	31	Possible shower.
Maryborough	⛅	22	32	Partly cloudy.
Gayndah	⛅	21	34	Partly cloudy.

Southeast Coast

Region Forecast: Expect some clouds with a side of showers, mainly in the late morning. Thunderstorms may also make an appearance. Winds will start off light, then pick up to 15-20 km/h from the east before calming down at night. Temperatures will drop to 19-23 overnight, reaching a high of 30 during the day. Time to break out the umbrella and maybe a sweater for the evening chill!

Location	Icon	Min Temp (°C)	Max Temp (°C)	Description
Beaudesert	🌧	21	32	Shower or two. Possible storm.
Brisbane	🌧	23	31	Shower or two.
Gatton	🌧	21	32	Shower or two.
Ipswich	🌧	21	32	Shower or two. Possible storm.
Logan Central	🌧	21	31	Shower or two.
Maroochydore	🌧	23	30	Possible shower.
Redcliffe	🌧	24	30	Shower or two.
Surfers Paradise	🌧	22	30	Shower or two.

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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)

State maps by Windy (Windy.com)

Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)

Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )

AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)

Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)

Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.