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National Synoptic Situation
National Temperature and Rainfall
Rain typically refers to steady, continuous precipitation that lasts for a longer period, sometimes hours or even days. It can vary in intensity, but it's usually more consistent and widespread.
Showers, on the other hand, are shorter bursts of rain, often intermittent. They can be heavy but usually don't last long. Showers are more sporadic and may be followed by dry periods or other types of weather, like sun or clouds.
National Synoptic Situation
QLD:
It appears that Tropical Cyclone Alfred is causing quite a stir off the southern Coral Sea, bringing with it some rather unpleasant coastal hazards along the southeast coast. It seems that this cyclone has decided to make its way towards the southeast coast, with plans to crash the party late Thursday or early Friday. Don't worry though, it will lose its steam once it's on land and eventually fizzle out over the weekend. Meanwhile, a weak trough will be hanging around in the western and central interior for a while. But fear not, come Saturday, a ridge will swoop in over eastern Queensland as a high saunters across the Tasman Sea, bringing some much-needed moisture to the northeast coast. So, get ready for some interesting weather patterns ahead!
NSW and ACT:
Looks like we've got high pressure systems dodging us to the south and a trough lounging around in the west. This means we'll be stuck with the same old easterly airstream for a couple of days. Oh, and let's not forget about Tropical Cyclone Alfred crashing the party. It's currently chilling about 500 to 600 km east of Brisbane but it's planning to crash into southeastern Queensland by late Thursday or early Friday. Get ready for heavy rain, strong winds, and some gnarly surf along the coast. And just when you thought it was over, the remnants of the cyclone are going to take a little road trip inland, spreading wet conditions all over the place during the weekend. So, if you were planning a picnic, maybe pack an umbrella instead.
VIC:
Well, folks, it looks like we've got a high pressure system hanging out over the Tasman Sea, bringing us some warm northerly winds in Victoria. But hold onto your hats, because a weak low pressure trough is set to crash the party on Wednesday, making its way across the State and bringing in a cooler southerly breeze on Thursday. And just when you thought it couldn't get any more exciting, we've got a high pressure system sneaking up from the south, ready to mix things up with some easterly winds on Friday. By Saturday, we'll be feeling those northeasterly winds as the high makes its grand entrance over the Tasman Sea. So get ready to ride the weather rollercoaster, because Mother Nature sure knows how to keep us on our toes!
SA:
So, it looks like we've got a high pressure system hanging out east of Tasmania, casually extending a ridge over the waters south of SA. And get this - another high is planning to crash the party south of the Bight by Wednesday night. It's then expected to make its way eastwards, eventually setting up camp over Tasmania by Friday. Looks like we've got some high pressure shenanigans happening this week, folks. Stay tuned.
WA:
Well, isn't that exciting? A low pressure trough is just hanging out over northern WA, getting cozy and making itself at home. And get this - it's going to be pushed even closer to the Pilbara coast by Wednesday. As if that wasn't thrilling enough, a high pressure ridge down south is flexing its muscles and sending some fresh east to southeasterly winds our way. So grab your hats and hold onto your umbrellas, because it's about to get breezy up in here.
TAS:
Well, it looks like Mother Nature has decided to play with her high pressure toys off the coast of Tasmania, creating a warm northeasterly breeze for us. But don't get too comfortable, because a weak cold front is crashing the party from the west on Wednesday, followed by a high pressure ridge. And just when you thought it was safe to go outside, another high pressure system swoops in on Friday, setting up camp in the Tasman Sea for the weekend, keeping that warm northerly wind blowing. So grab your sunscreen and sunglasses, because it's going to be a rollercoaster of weather this week!
NT:
Well, it seems that Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive up in the northern NT, causing showers and thunderstorms to play a game of hide and seek. But fear not, as this weak ridge will eventually give in and allow for more widespread precipitation towards the end of the week. Meanwhile, a trough is just chilling out in the Tanami and Barkly Districts, while a new high moves in to stir things up in the Bight. So, get ready for a strengthening ridge to the south of the trough on Wednesday. Time to break out the umbrellas and rain boots, folks!
National Weather Warnings
New South Wales
Victoria
Queensland
Western Australia
South Australia
Tasmania
Northern Territory
National Storms and Rain Accumulation outlook
Four Day Forecasts
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NQ Rainfall 24 Accumulated (ACCESS G) PLUS one day
Monsoon Update
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Current details on TC Alfred:
Looking at some information that might be useful is when the system is expected to peak with wind gusts. And around 2pm on Thursday at this stage. The peak winds are also expected around the Gold Coast. However there are other areas that will also receive these types of wind gusts. The images are in order of ECMWF, GFS and ACCESS. ACCESS still looks to be showing the strongest while the GFS is the weakest. As for Rainfall, same order of models, and ACCESS showing the most intense rain over 4 days, and GFS the least.
JTWC Update: 1pm Update
Tropical Cyclone Alfred, currently about 600 km east of Brisbane, is moving southwest at 10 km/h (5 knots) with sustained winds of 100 km/h (55 knots) and gusts higher. The system is expected to turn west shortly, tracking towards the Queensland coast, with landfall likely north of Brisbane by Friday. Alfred is maintaining strength as it moves over warmer waters, though wind shear and dry air are impacting its structure. It may regain a more tropical form just before landfall. Damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and coastal impacts, including high tides and dangerous surf, are expected. Residents should monitor updates and prepare for severe conditions.
Temperature and Rainfall Forecast - Access-G
Wednesday, 5th March
Well, isn't that a surprise - it's going to be rather warm in the southern regions today. So, you might want to consider dressing accordingly and maybe even investing in some sunscreen.
Thursday, 6th March
Prepare your umbrellas and raincoats, folks! We've got widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms in the southeast, which means heavy to locally intense rainfall. Meanwhile, if you're in the southwest, consider yourself lucky with mostly sunny skies. But don't get too comfortable, as there are isolated to scattered showers elsewhere, with a chance of a thunderstorm inland and over northern Cape York Peninsula. Watch out for damaging surf and abnormally high tides south of Sandy Cape, and be wary of those damaging to locally destructive wind gusts in the southeast. Maximum temperatures will be near average in the southeast, but above average elsewhere. And don't forget about those severe heatwave conditions in the Capricornia and North Tropical Coast and Tablelands Districts - time to break out the fans and sunscreen!
Friday, 7th March
Looks like we've got quite the mixed bag of weather today. Showers and thunderstorms in the southeast, heavy rain included - don't forget your umbrella! Partly cloudy in the far southwest, so maybe bring your sunglasses just in case. And watch out for those damaging surf and abnormally high tides south of Sandy Cape - could make for an interesting day at the beach. Oh, and don't forget about those possible damaging wind gusts in the southeast, especially in the morning. And let's not forget about the severe heatwave conditions up north - stay cool, my friends. Stay safe out there!
Saturday, 8th March
Grab your umbrella and galoshes, folks - it's raining cats and dogs in the southeast! Don't forget your snorkel, as heavy rainfall is expected. If you're lucky enough to be outside of the downpour, you might just catch a glimpse of a thunderstorm near Cairns. And don't sweat it - temperatures are right on track in the southeast, but getting a little toasty everywhere else.
Region Round-up - BOM
Forecast for North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Well, it looks like we've got some lovely sunshine coming our way, with a touch of wind to keep things interesting. Temperatures will drop overnight to a balmy 18 to 23 degrees, before climbing up to a scorching 30 to 35 during the day. Don't forget your sunscreen - the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13, so you might want to invest in some shades and a good hat. Stay cool out there, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Cairns | ⛅ | 23 | 32 | Mostly sunny. |
Atherton | ☀️ | 18 | 30 | Sunny. |
Cooktown | ⛅ | 24 | 33 | Mostly sunny. |
Innisfail | ⛅ | 22 | 32 | Mostly sunny. |
Mareeba | ☀️ | 19 | 33 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Get your sunscreen ready folks, it's gonna be a scorcher out there. Expect a sprinkle down south in the morning and afternoon, but otherwise, it's looking dry as a bone. Light winds will start the day off, but by afternoon they'll be coming at you from the north to northeast at a breezy 15 to 20 km/h. As the day winds down, the winds will too, becoming as light as a feather by late evening. Temperatures will be dropping overnight to a balmy 19 to 24, while daytime temps will be sizzling at 32 to 37. Sun protection is a must from 8:30am to 4:10pm, with the UV Index predicted to reach a whopping 13 [Extreme]. So slap on that SPF and stay cool out there!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Townsville | ⛅ | 25 | 32 | Mostly sunny. |
Ayr | ⛅ | 23 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Ingham | ⛅ | 22 | 33 | Cloud clearing. |
Forecast for Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Looks like we've got some clouds rolling in today, with a small possibility of a shower popping up in the late morning and afternoon. The winds will be light in the morning, shifting to the north to northwesterly at 15 to 20 km/h before calming down in the evening. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low 20s, while daytime temperatures will hit a high of 30 to 35. Better break out the sunscreen, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13, which is considered extreme. So, grab your hat and shades and prepare for a day of dodging showers and soaking up some serious rays.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Mackay | ⛅ | 23 | 31 | Mostly sunny. |
Bowen | ⛅ | 24 | 32 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Peninsula:
It's your typical day in the land down under. A bit of sun, a hint of showers up north near Weipa - just to keep things interesting. But fear not, the rest of the country is safe from any pesky rain. Light winds will be joining us for a leisurely stroll, shifting from east to northeasterly throughout the day. As the day winds down, temperatures will follow suit, dropping to the low to mid 20s overnight. But don't worry, things will heat up again during the day, with temperatures reaching a balmy 32 to 37 degrees. Sun protection is a must from 8:40am to 4:40pm, with the UV Index expected to hit a whopping 14 - that's Extreme, in case you were wondering. So slap on your sunscreen and enjoy the sunshine, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Weipa | 🌧 | 23 | 35 | Possible shower. |
Coen | ⛅ | 23 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Palmerville | ☀️ | 21 | 36 | Sunny. |
Thursday Island | 🌧 | 26 | 31 | Shower or two. |
Forecast for Gulf Country:
Well, folks, it looks like we've got a classic case of "mostly sunny with a chance of a shower" on our hands today. And just to keep things interesting, there's also a slight chance of a thunderstorm thrown into the mix. Don't worry about getting blown away though, as the light winds will be making a guest appearance before switching things up to northwest to northeasterly at a moderate 15 to 20 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures will be dropping to the mid to high 20s, so you might want to crack open a window before heading to bed. Daytime temperatures will be hitting a balmy 36 to 41 degrees, so you might want to consider investing in a portable air conditioner if you haven't already. And don't forget to slap on that sunscreen between 8:50am to 4:40pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13 (that's extreme, in case you were wondering). So grab your sunscreen, your umbrella, and maybe even a fan, and get ready for a day of fun in the sun!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Normanton | 🌧 | 27 | 36 | Possible shower. |
Burketown | ⛅ | 26 | 37 | Partly cloudy. |
Doomadgee | ⛅ | 26 | 38 | Partly cloudy. |
Kowanyama | ☀️ | 24 | 36 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Prepare yourself for a day of mostly sunny skies, with a slight chance of a shower near the Gregory Ranges - but don't hold your breath anywhere else. Keep an eye out for a potential thunderstorm in the southwest, just to keep things interesting. Winds will be playing a game of musical chairs, starting out northeasterly before switching to northwest to northeasterly before finally deciding to take a nap in the early afternoon. As for temperatures, expect overnight lows in the low to mid 20s and daytime highs reaching a toasty 35 to 40 degrees. Sun protection is a must from 8:30am to 4:20pm, with the UV Index predicted to reach a whopping 13 - so you might want to consider wearing a hazmat suit just to be safe. Stay cool out there, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Charters Towers | ☀️ | 21 | 37 | Sunny. |
Georgetown | ☀️ | 23 | 37 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Capricornia:
Prepare for a day of sunshine with a side of showers up north. Don't bother bringing an umbrella anywhere else, you won't need it. Winds will start off light, but by midday they'll be strong enough to mess up your hair. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a somewhat bearable range, so you can finally turn off the fan. Make sure to slather on the sunscreen between 8:20am and 3:50pm to avoid turning into a lobster. The UV Index is expected to reach an alarming 12, so maybe consider wearing a hazmat suit for extra protection.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Gladstone | ⛅ | 23 | 36 | Partly cloudy. |
Rockhampton | ⛅ | 23 | 35 | Partly cloudy. |
Biloela | ⛅ | 19 | 36 | Mostly sunny. |
Yeppoon | 🌧 | 23 | 33 | Possible shower. |
Forecast for Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Prepare for a day of mostly sunny skies with a slight chance of a shower up north, but don't hold your breath anywhere else. Winds will be all over the place, starting in the northeast and southeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h, then switching to southeast to southwesterly at 15 to 25 km/h in the morning before finally settling on northwest to northeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h by late evening. Overnight temperatures will drop to a balmy 19 to 22 degrees, while daytime temperatures will soar into the low to high 30s. Sun protection is a must from 8:20am to 4:10pm, with the UV Index predicted to hit a whopping 13 (Extreme). So slap on that sunscreen and stay cool out there!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Emerald | ☀️ | 22 | 36 | Sunny. |
Clermont | ☀️ | 22 | 35 | Sunny. |
Moranbah | ⛅ | 22 | 35 | Cloud clearing. |
Forecast for Central West:
Another day, another rollercoaster of weather. Expect a sunny morning, but don't get too comfortable because there's a chance of a thunderstorm lurking in the northwest for the afternoon and evening. The winds can't seem to make up their minds, starting from the northeast to southeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h, switching to northwest to northeasterly in the morning, then doing a complete 180 to southeast to southwesterly in the early afternoon. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, but during the day, get ready to sweat it out with temperatures soaring to a scorching 37 to 42 degrees. You'll need some moderate sun protection from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, with the UV Index predicted to reach a whopping 13, officially classified as "Extreme". So, strap in folks, it's going to be a wild ride of weather patterns today. Stay cool, stay safe, and maybe invest in some extra sunscreen.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Longreach | ⛅ | 24 | 40 | Partly cloudy. |
Barcaldine | ☀️ | 24 | 39 | Sunny. |
Winton | ☀️ | 25 | 41 | Sunny. |
Forecast for North West:
Grab your sunscreen and sunglasses, folks! It's going to be mostly sunny today with a slight chance of a shower up in the northeast - but let's be real, the rest of us are in the clear. There's also a possibility of a thunderstorm rolling in later on, so maybe keep an eye on the sky. The winds will start off light but will pick up to a brisk west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h before dawn, then shift to southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, but during the day, we're looking at highs in the low 40s. Don't forget your sun protection from 8:50am to 4:50pm - the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13, so unless you want to turn into a lobster, lather up that sunscreen!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Mount Isa | ⛅ | 24 | 43 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Channel Country:
Well, it seems we're in for a scorcher today, folks! With winds coming in from the east to southeasterly at a brisk 20 to 30 km/h, you might want to hold onto your hats. Overnight, temperatures will dip down to the mid to high 20s, so you might want to crack open a window for some relief. During the day, temperatures are expected to soar to a blistering 39 to 44 degrees. So, make sure you've got your sunscreen handy and ready to go from 8:50am to 4:40pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13 (Extreme). Stay cool out there, folks, and remember to hydrate!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Birdsville | ☀️ | 27 | 44 | Sunny. |
Thargomindah | ☀️ | 26 | 39 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Maranoa and Warrego:
Another day, another scorcher! Don't forget your sunscreen and sunglasses, unless you enjoy looking like a lobster. Expect breezy conditions coming in from the east to southeast, so hold onto your hats. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 19 to 24 degrees, giving you the perfect excuse to crank up the air conditioning. Daytime temperatures will soar into the mid to high 30s, so be prepared to sweat buckets. Sun protection is a must from 8:20am to 4:00pm, with the UV Index predicted to reach a whopping 13, officially in the "Extreme" category. Stay cool out there, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Charleville | ⛅ | 21 | 37 | Partly cloudy. |
Roma | ⛅ | 20 | 36 | Mostly sunny. |
St George | ⛅ | 21 | 35 | Mostly sunny. |
Cunnamulla | ☀️ | 23 | 37 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
Looks like we've got a mixed bag of weather coming our way. If you're in the far east, you might want to bring an umbrella because there's a high chance of showers. Everywhere else, you might just get a sprinkle if you're lucky. Don't be fooled by those calm easterly winds in the morning - they're going to do a complete 180 and come at you from the south at a whopping 35 to 50 km/h. So hold onto your hats, folks. As for temperatures, it's going to be a bit of a rollercoaster. Overnight, it'll be a cool 18 to 21 degrees, but during the day, it'll shoot up to a toasty 27 to 35 degrees. So make sure you dress in layers, because you never know what you're going to get. And don't forget your sunscreen - the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 12, which is just off the charts. So slap on that sun protection from 8:10am to 3:50pm if you don't want to fry like a crispy piece of bacon.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Dalby | 🌧 | 19 | 29 | Shower or two. Windy. |
Goondiwindi | 🌩 | 21 | 35 | Becoming windy. Partly cloudy. |
Toowoomba | 🌧 | 18 | 25 | Showers. Windy. |
Warwick | 🌩 | 18 | 27 | Showers and wind increasing. |
Stanthorpe | 🌩 | 17 | 23 | Showers and wind increasing. |
Forecast for Wide Bay and Burnett:
Looks like there might be some rain coming your way, with a side of potentially damaging winds if you're in the south. So, maybe grab an umbrella and hold onto your hat. Temperatures will be dropping overnight, so maybe dig out that extra blanket. And if you were planning on hitting the beach, be aware that the surf conditions are looking pretty gnarly. Don't forget to slather on the sunscreen, unless you want to risk turning into a lobster. UV levels are no joke today. Stay safe out there, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Bundaberg | 🌧 | 20 | 33 | Shower or two. Windy. |
Gympie | 🌩 | 20 | 29 | Showers and wind increasing. |
Hervey Bay | 🌩 | 21 | 31 | Windy. Shower or two. |
Kingaroy | 🌧 | 18 | 27 | Shower or two. Windy. |
Maryborough | 🌩 | 20 | 30 | Windy. Shower or two. |
Gayndah | 🌧 | 19 | 33 | Shower or two. Windy. |
Forecast for Southeast Coast:
Looks like the skies are feeling a bit moody today, with a very high chance of showers that might just escalate to a full-on rain. And just for fun, there's a chance of a thunderstorm near the coast. If that wasn't exciting enough, heavy falls could be in store along the coastal fringe. But wait, there's more! Damaging wind gusts exceeding 90 km/h might make an appearance, all depending on the movement and development of Tropical Cyclone Alfred. Overnight temperatures will drop to a somewhat breezy 18 to 21 degrees, with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. So it's like getting a little taste of all the seasons in one day, how exciting! And if you were planning on hitting the beach, maybe think again. Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities like rock fishing, swimming, and surfing. So unless you're ready to channel your inner surfer dude and ride those waves like a pro, maybe stick to a nice cup of tea at home. Oh, and don't forget your sunscreen! Sun protection is advised from 8:10am to 3:40pm, with the UV Index predicted to reach a whopping 12 (Extreme). So slather on that SPF like your life depends on it, folks.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Beaudesert | 🌩 | 20 | 27 | Showers and wind increasing. |
Brisbane | 🌧 | 21 | 28 | Rain and wind increasing. |
Gatton | 🌩 | 19 | 29 | Showers and wind increasing. |
Ipswich | 🌩 | 20 | 29 | Showers and wind increasing. |
Logan Central | 🌧 | 20 | 27 | Rain and wind increasing. |
Maroochydore | 🌧 | 21 | 29 | Rain and wind increasing. |
Redcliffe | 🌧 | 21 | 28 | Rain and wind increasing. |
Surfers Paradise | 🌧 | 19 | 27 | Rain and wind increasing. |
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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