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National Synoptic Situation
National Temperature and Rainfall
Rain typically refers to steady, continuous precipitation that lasts for a longer period, sometimes hours or even days. It can vary in intensity, but it's usually more consistent and widespread.
Showers, on the other hand, are shorter bursts of rain, often intermittent. They can be heavy but usually don't last long. Showers are more sporadic and may be followed by dry periods or other types of weather, like sun or clouds.
National Synoptic Situation
QLD:
The current weather situation in Queensland is about as exciting as watching paint dry. A weak ridge is hanging out in the south, while the rest of the state is dealing with a barely noticeable pressure gradient. Tropical Cyclone Alfred is doing its best to make some waves off the coast, but it's really just adding a little extra wind to the mix. Don't get too excited though, Alfred is expected to stay offshore for the next couple of days before potentially drifting towards the southeast coast later in the week. Meanwhile, a trough in the southwest is just chilling out in the interior, not really doing much of anything. So, if you were hoping for some weather drama, you're out of luck - it's all pretty tame out there.
NSW and ACT:
Well folks, it looks like we've got some weather shenanigans happening on the horizon. A ridge of high pressure is kicking out a trough on the coast, while another one is just hanging out in the western inland. And to add to the mix, Tropical Cyclone Alfred is planning a southward journey before making a bold move west towards the Queensland and New South Wales coast. Brace yourselves for increased rainfall, strong winds, and some gnarly waves up north later in the week. Time to bust out those rain boots and hold onto your hats, it's gonna be a wild ride!
VIC:
Well, it looks like Mother Nature is playing a game of musical chairs with high pressure systems down south. Expect some southerly winds today, followed by a shift to east to northeasterly winds on Tuesday. By Wednesday, a weak trough will be passing through Victoria, so hold onto your hats. The next high pressure system will then swoop in from the Bight on Thursday, bringing some more southerly winds our way. It's like a weather rollercoaster, folks!
SA:
Well, it looks like we've got a high pressure system playing musical chairs south of Kangaroo Island, slowly making its way eastward towards Tasmania. Meanwhile, a trough up north is planning a road trip to Queensland. And just when you thought it couldn't get any more exciting, another high is getting ready to set up shop south of the Bight and move eastward later in the week. Mother Nature sure knows how to keep us on our toes!
WA:
Looks like the folks up in northern WA are in for a treat with a broad low pressure trough hanging out overhead. But fear not, because starting Wednesday, that trough will be nudged closer to the Pilbara coast thanks to a high pressure ridge flexing its muscles to the south. This means fresh east to southeasterly winds will be blowing through the area, so hold onto your hats and enjoy the breezy conditions!
TAS:
So, looks like we've got a high hanging out over the state today, but don't get too comfortable because a warm northeasterly wind is about to crash the party as the high moves east on Tuesday. And just when you thought things were settling down, a weak cold front is going to swoop in from the west on Wednesday evening. But hey, no need to stress - a weak high over the Bight will be sliding south of Tasmania during the day to keep things interesting. Just another day in the unpredictable world of weather, folks!
NT:
Looks like Mother Nature is playing favorites up in the Northern Territory with showers and thunderstorms being as isolated as that one friend who always seems to disappear when it's their turn to buy a round. But don't worry, things are slowly changing as a ridge extends over the southern NT, pushing a trough northwards across the Tanami and Barkly Districts. It's like a slow-moving parade making its way through town, except instead of candy, it's bringing some much-needed rain. By Thursday, a high will come in and strengthen that ridge over the southern NT, showing that even weather patterns need a little support every now and then. And as the week comes to a close, the ridge over the northern NT will finally start to loosen up, allowing showers and thunderstorms to make a grand entrance across the north. So grab your umbrella and prepare for some more widespread showers and thunderstorms, because it looks like things are about to get a whole lot wetter up in the Northern Territory. But hey, at least we'll be getting a free car wash out of it.
National Weather Warnings
New South Wales
Victoria
Queensland
Western Australia
South Australia
No warnings available at this time for South Australia.
Tasmania
Northern Territory
National Storms and Rain Accumulation outlook
Four Day Forecasts
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Monsoon Update
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Current details on TC Alfred:
Below shows the approximate day and time TC Alfred will arrive. First the wind early morning of the 6th of March and then later for the rain. We are starting to see what would be expected, the GFS on the lower intensity scale and ACCESS on the upper end of the intensity scale. Essentially between gale force and Cat 2 gusts.
JTWC Update: 1pm Update
Tropical Cyclone Alfred (18P) is currently tracking southeast with sustained winds of 50 knots (93 km/h), located 250 nautical miles east-northeast of Brisbane. The system is experiencing strong wind shear and dry air intrusion, causing its convection to be displaced to the southeast. Alfred is expected to continue moving southeast before turning sharply westward from Tuesday as a ridge builds to the south. Landfall is forecast north of Brisbane around Thursday, though timing and location remain uncertain. While the cyclone may briefly strengthen over the next 12 hours due to strong outflow, increasing wind shear and cooler sea surface temperatures will likely weaken it before landfall, with winds around 45 knots (83 km/h). Numerical models show some disagreement on the exact timing of its westward turn, with uncertainty increasing beyond 72 hours. After landfall, Alfred is expected to weaken rapidly as it tracks inland.
Temperature and Rainfall Forecast - Access-G
Tuesday, 4th March
Well, looks like the Darling Downs and Granite Belt district are in for some high temperatures today. So, for those of you living in that area, be sure to stay cool and hydrated. And maybe consider investing in some extra fans or air conditioning to avoid turning into a human puddle. Stay frosty, folks!
Wednesday, 5th March
Looks like Queensland is in for a real treat today! We've got some isolated to scattered showers in the central and southern regions, with a chance of some widespread downpours in the southeast. And let's not forget about those isolated thunderstorms up north - always a fun time! But hey, if you're in the far southwest, you lucked out with mostly sunny skies. And for those of you dealing with damaging winds in the southeast, just blame it on Tropical Cyclone Alfred - he's the real troublemaker here. As for temperatures, it's a mixed bag. Near or slightly below average in the southeast, but things are heating up in the west. And let's not forget about those severe heatwave conditions up north - perfect weather for baking cookies on your dashboard! So there you have it, folks. Just another day in paradise here in Queensland. Stay dry, stay cool, and don't forget your umbrella!
Thursday, 6th March
Watch out for scattered showers and possible thunderstorms in certain parts of Queensland. Keep an eye out for heavy rain and strong winds, especially in the southeast where Tropical Cyclone Alfred might stir things up. Don't be surprised if you encounter isolated showers and thunderstorms along the coasts and up in Cape York Peninsula. The rest of the region will be partly cloudy. Temperatures will be around average in the southeast, but things will be heating up in the west. The good news is that the severe heatwave conditions in the northwest are finally starting to cool off.
Friday, 7th March
Looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive today in central and southern Queensland. You might want to grab an umbrella if you're south of Rockhampton and east of Injune, as scattered showers are on the menu. And if you happen to be in southeastern Queensland, be prepared for some heavy rain and potentially destructive winds thanks to Tropical Cyclone Alfred. But don't worry, it's not all doom and gloom. There will be isolated showers along the coasts and Cape York Peninsula, with a chance of thunderstorms in the northwest and northern Cape York Peninsula. Everywhere else will just be partly cloudy. Temperatures are a mixed bag too. It's going to be hot hot hot in the far west, but cooler in the southeast. So make sure you dress accordingly, folks. And maybe keep an eye on that cyclone just in case. Happy Monday!
Region Round-up - BOM
Forecast for North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Looks like we've got a classic case of the sun showing off today. Don't be fooled by those light winds in the morning, they'll be turning into a nice easterly breeze by lunchtime. Temperatures will be dropping overnight, so make sure to grab an extra blanket for those chilly 18 to 22-degree nights. During the day, you can expect the heat to crank up to the low to mid 30s. This calls for some moderate sun protection from 8:30am to 4:20pm. And with a UV Index predicted to hit a whopping 13 [Extreme], it might be a good idea to break out the sunscreen and maybe even a wide-brimmed hat. Just remember, the sun may be shining, but that doesn't mean it won't burn. Stay safe out there, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Cairns | ☀️ | 22 | 33 | Sunny. |
Atherton | ☀️ | 17 | 31 | Sunny. |
Cooktown | ⛅ | 22 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Innisfail | ☀️ | 21 | 32 | Sunny. |
Mareeba | ☀️ | 18 | 34 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Well, it looks like we've got a classic case of mostly sunny skies today. There's a teensy-weensy chance of a shower down south later on, but don't hold your breath. For the rest of us, it's as dry as your Aunt Mildred's jokes at Thanksgiving dinner. Expect light winds to grace us with their presence, just enough to ruffle your hair but not enough to mess up your carefully styled 'do. Overnight, temperatures will dip down to the low 20s, so you might want to break out the fuzzy socks and hot water bottle. Daytime temperatures will be doing a little dance between the low to high 30s, so make sure you dress accordingly. And don't forget to slap on that sunscreen, because the UV index is predicted to reach a whopping 13 on the extreme scale. Safety first, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Townsville | ☀️ | 24 | 32 | Sunny. |
Ayr | ⛅ | 23 | 34 | Mostly sunny. |
Ingham | ☀️ | 21 | 34 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Well, it seems like we're in for a little bit of everything today. A dash of sunshine in the morning, followed by a sprinkle of showers in the afternoon and evening - just to keep things interesting. Don't worry though, the winds will be light enough to not mess up your hair too much. If you're a fan of the heat, you're in luck. Temperatures will be hitting the low 30s to mid 30s during the day, with a slight cool down overnight to the low 20s. Just make sure to slap on that sunscreen between 8:20am and 4:00pm, because the UV Index is predicted to reach a whopping 13 - extreme levels, folks. So, grab your umbrella, your sunscreen, and maybe a light jacket for the evening. It's going to be a rollercoaster of a day, but hey, at least it won't be boring.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Mackay | ⛅ | 23 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Bowen | ⛅ | 24 | 32 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Peninsula:
Prepare for a day of mostly sunshine with a slight chance of rain up north. Thunderstorms might make an appearance, but only if you're near Weipa. Light winds will shift from the east, so hold onto your hats. Temperatures will dip to the low to mid-20s at night, but brace yourself for the mid to high 30s during the day. Don't forget your sunscreen, as the UV Index is predicted to hit a whopping 13 [Extreme] by midday. Stay cool out there, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Weipa | ☀️ | 22 | 35 | Sunny. |
Coen | ⛅ | 22 | 34 | Mostly sunny. |
Palmerville | ☀️ | 22 | 37 | Sunny. |
Thursday Island | 🌧 | 25 | 31 | Shower or two. |
Forecast for Gulf Country:
Looks like the sun will be making an appearance today, but don't get too comfortable. There's a slight chance of a shower, and if you're feeling lucky, there might even be a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon - possibly severe. Light winds will be blowing in from the northeast to southeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h, but don't worry, they'll become light in the evening. Overnight temperatures will drop to the mid to high 20s, so you might want to keep a fan handy. Daytime temperatures will be scorching, reaching 37 to 42 degrees. Better slap on some sunscreen from 8:50am to 4:40pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach 13 - that's extreme, folks. Stay cool out there!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Normanton | 🌧 | 27 | 37 | Possible shower. |
Burketown | ⛅ | 26 | 38 | Partly cloudy. |
Doomadgee | ☀️ | 25 | 39 | Sunny. |
Kowanyama | ☀️ | 25 | 36 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Looks like we've got a sunny day ahead with some shifting winds to keep things interesting. The temperatures will be dropping overnight, so make sure to have your blankets ready. Daytime temperatures will be scorching, so prepare to sweat it out. Don't forget your sunscreen, folks - the UV Index is predicted to reach extreme levels. Time to lather up and protect yourselves from turning into crispy critters.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Charters Towers | ☀️ | 21 | 38 | Sunny. |
Georgetown | ☀️ | 23 | 38 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Capricornia:
Looks like we've got a bit of cloud cover today, with a small possibility of a shower popping up in the late morning and afternoon. Just to keep things interesting, we'll have some light winds shifting to the east to northeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h later on. As for temperatures, we're looking at a range of 19 to 23 degrees overnight and highs in the low to mid 30s during the day. So, you might want to slap on some sunscreen between 8:20am and 3:50pm to protect yourself from the extreme UV Index of 12. Because let's face it, nobody wants to deal with a sunburn in this heat. Stay cool, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Gladstone | ⛅ | 23 | 33 | Mostly sunny. |
Rockhampton | ⛅ | 23 | 34 | Mostly sunny. |
Biloela | ☀️ | 20 | 36 | Sunny. |
Yeppoon | ⛅ | 24 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Central Highlands and Coalfields:
Looks like you can leave your umbrella at home today, unless you're hanging out in the northeast where there's a tiny chance of a shower. Light winds will be making a guest appearance, shifting from northeast to southeasterly at a leisurely 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon before deciding to take the night off. Temperatures will be dropping overnight to a cozy 19 to 23, while daytime will be heating up to the mid to high 30s. Don't forget your sunscreen from 8:20am to 4:10pm - the UV Index is expected to hit a scorching 12. Time to break out the SPF 1000!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Emerald | ☀️ | 22 | 37 | Sunny. |
Clermont | ☀️ | 22 | 37 | Sunny. |
Moranbah | ⛅ | 21 | 36 | Mostly sunny. |
Forecast for Central West:
Looks like we're in for a scorcher today, folks! Expect some sunny skies with winds doing a little dance from northeast to southeasterly at a leisurely pace of 15 to 20 km/h. By midday, they'll switch it up and head south before settling in the east to southeasterly direction come evening. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, giving us a somewhat cooler break from the sweltering daytime heat of 38 to 43 degrees. Remember to slap on some sunscreen between 8:40am and 4:30pm as the UV Index is predicted to hit a whopping 13, which is off the charts (literally). Stay cool out there and try not to melt under the extreme sun today!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Longreach | ⛅ | 24 | 41 | Mostly sunny. |
Barcaldine | ⛅ | 25 | 41 | Mostly sunny. |
Winton | ☀️ | 24 | 42 | Sunny. |
Forecast for North West:
Well, it seems like we're in for a scorching day ahead. Light winds in the morning will give way to a southerly breeze, before eventually fizzling out in the evening. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the relatively balmy mid to high 20s, with daytime highs soaring into the low to mid 40s. Don't forget your sunscreen, as the sun will be shining bright from 8:50am to 4:50pm, with the UV Index predicted to reach a staggering 14. So, slap on that SPF and try to stay cool out there!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Mount Isa | ☀️ | 25 | 43 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Channel Country:
It's going to be a sunny day with some breezy winds coming from all over the place. Temperatures will drop overnight but climb back up during the day, reaching scorching levels. Don't forget your sunscreen, you'll need it from morning until late afternoon. The UV Index is predicting extreme levels, so maybe consider wearing a hat or finding some shade if you want to avoid turning into a lobster.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Birdsville | ☀️ | 27 | 43 | Sunny. |
Thargomindah | ☀️ | 27 | 41 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Maranoa and Warrego:
Looks like it's going to be a scorcher out there, folks! Make sure to lather on that sunscreen if you plan on being outside between 8:20am and 4:00pm. With temperatures reaching the mid to high 30s, you might want to find some shade or invest in a portable air conditioner. Don't forget to stay hydrated and maybe invest in some sweat-proof makeup if you want to avoid looking like a melted popsicle. And remember, an UV Index of 12 is no joke - so keep those sunglasses handy and try not to fry like a piece of bacon out there!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Charleville | ☀️ | 23 | 38 | Sunny. |
Roma | ☀️ | 20 | 36 | Sunny. |
St George | ☀️ | 22 | 35 | Sunny. |
Cunnamulla | ☀️ | 24 | 38 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
It's going to be mostly sunny with a slight chance of a shower in the far east, but don't hold your breath. The rest of us can expect near zero chance of rain. Winds will be coming from the south to southeasterly at a breezy 15 to 25 km/h, then shifting to the east to southeasterly in the morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures will drop to a balmy 17 to 21 degrees, while daytime temperatures will soar to a scorching 31 to 36 degrees. Better slather on that sunscreen between 8:10am and 3:50pm, as the UV Index is predicted to reach an extreme 11. Don't say I didn't warn you!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Dalby | ⛅ | 18 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Goondiwindi | ⛅ | 19 | 36 | Mostly sunny. |
Toowoomba | 🌧 | 18 | 29 | Possible shower. |
Warwick | ⛅ | 18 | 30 | Partly cloudy. |
Stanthorpe | ⛅ | 17 | 27 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Wide Bay and Burnett:
Enjoy the sunshine this morning, but keep an eye out for a possible shower later on. Winds will be doing a little dance from the south to southwesterly before settling down to the south to southeasterly. Temperatures will drop to a balmy 18-21 degrees overnight, with daytime highs reaching a toasty 30-35 degrees. Be cautious if you're planning any coastal activities, as the surf will be large and powerful - not exactly ideal conditions for rock fishing, swimming, or surfing. Sun protection is a must from 8:10am to 3:50pm, with the UV Index hitting a whopping 12 (that's extreme, folks). Stay safe out there!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Bundaberg | 🌧 | 21 | 33 | Possible shower developing. |
Gympie | 🌧 | 21 | 32 | Possible shower developing. |
Hervey Bay | ⛅ | 22 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Kingaroy | ⛅ | 18 | 30 | Partly cloudy. |
Maryborough | 🌧 | 21 | 32 | Possible shower developing. |
Gayndah | ⛅ | 19 | 34 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Southeast Coast:
Looks like we've got some clouds rolling in today, with a decent chance of showers down south and a slightly less decent chance everywhere else. So make sure you've got your umbrella handy. Winds will be coming from the south at 20 to 30 km/h, so hold onto your hats, folks. Temperatures will be dropping overnight to around 20 degrees, but don't worry, we'll be back up to a balmy 30 degrees during the day. Just your typical rollercoaster of weather in this crazy world we live in. Now, if you were planning on hitting the beach, you might want to think twice. The surf is going to be large and powerful, so maybe stick to building sandcastles instead of trying to ride those waves. And don't forget your sunscreen, because that UV Index is predicted to reach an extreme 11. So slap on that SPF and enjoy the sunshine while it lasts.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Beaudesert | 🌧 | 20 | 31 | Shower or two. |
Brisbane | 🌧 | 22 | 32 | Shower or two. |
Gatton | 🌧 | 19 | 33 | Possible shower. |
Ipswich | 🌧 | 21 | 33 | Shower or two. |
Logan Central | 🌧 | 20 | 31 | Shower or two. |
Maroochydore | 🌧 | 22 | 30 | Possible shower. |
Redcliffe | 🌧 | 22 | 30 | Possible shower. |
Surfers Paradise | 🌧 | 20 | 30 | Shower or two. |
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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