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National Synoptic Situation
National Temperature and Rainfall
Rain typically refers to steady, continuous precipitation that lasts for a longer period, sometimes hours or even days. It can vary in intensity, but it's usually more consistent and widespread.
Showers, on the other hand, are shorter bursts of rain, often intermittent. They can be heavy but usually don't last long. Showers are more sporadic and may be followed by dry periods or other types of weather, like sun or clouds.
National Synoptic Situation
QLD:
Well, it looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive this week. A weakening ridge over southern Queensland is causing a weak pressure gradient over the rest of the state. Meanwhile, Tropical Cyclone Alfred is lurking offshore in the Coral Sea, stirring up some windy and wavy conditions along the central and southern east coast. Don't worry, though - Tropical Cyclone Alfred is planning to keep its distance and stay out at sea for the weekend and early next week. But watch out, as there's a chance it might decide to make a dramatic entrance towards the southeast coast by mid-next week. As if that wasn't enough, there's a trough hanging out over the southwest, just lounging about the interior for the foreseeable future. So grab your umbrella and hold onto your hats, folks - it's shaping up to be an interesting week in the world of weather.
NSW and ACT:
Well, it looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive this week. A ridge of high pressure is stepping in to take over from a trough on the coast, while another trough is just hanging out over the western inland. And let's not forget about Tropical Cyclone Alfred, who's apparently on a road trip down south towards Queensland or New South Wales. Brace yourselves for some heavy rain, strong winds, and gnarly waves up north as Alfred makes his grand entrance later in the week. Time to batten down the hatches and break out the umbrellas, folks!
VIC:
Get ready for a rollercoaster of winds this week, folks. We've got a high pressure system doing its thing down south, extending its reach over Victoria and directing some southerly airstream action on Sunday. But hold onto your hats because those winds will be turning south to southeasterly on Monday, and then east to northeasterly on Tuesday as the high decides to take a little trip to the Tasman Sea. But wait, there's more! A weak trough will be making its way across Victoria on Wednesday, just to keep things interesting. And if you thought we were done with the windy shenanigans, think again. The next high in the Bight is ready to build a ridge over Victoria on Thursday, bringing back that southerly airstream for another round. So buckle up, folks, it's going to be a wild ride.
SA:
Well folks, it looks like we've got a high pressure system playing musical chairs south of Kangaroo Island, making its way over to Tasmania by Monday. Meanwhile, a trough up in the northeast is getting ready to make its grand entrance over Queensland. But wait, there's more! Another high pressure system is gearing up to take center stage south of the Bight mid-week, only to gracefully move eastwards by the end of the week. So get your umbrellas ready, because it's going to be a wild ride of weather patterns this week!
WA:
Well, isn't that just grand? We've got ourselves a lovely broad low pressure trough hanging out over northern WA. So, what does that mean for us? Well, it means we can expect some rather interesting weather patterns in that neck of the woods. Just a little heads up for all you fine folks out there.
TAS:
Well, it looks like we've got a high pressure system making itself at home over the state today and sticking around until Monday. By Tuesday, get ready for a warm northeasterly wind to start blowing as the high decides to take a little trip to the east. But don't get too comfortable, because a weak cold front is planning to crash the party on Wednesday evening all the way from the west. And just when you thought it couldn't get any more exciting, a weak high over the Bight is going to casually slide to the south of Tasmania during the day. So, folks, be prepared for some weather shenanigans coming our way this week!
NT:
So, it seems like we've got a weak ridge hanging out in the northern part of NT, causing those showers and thunderstorms to be loners. Down in the southern NT, there's a weak trough just chilling. But hold onto your hats, because a high from the Bight is coming to town and it's going to flex its muscles by strengthening that ridge in the south. This will push that lazy trough up north into the central districts. So, get ready for some action!
National Weather Warnings
New South Wales
Victoria
No warnings available at this time for Victoria.
Queensland
Western Australia
South Australia
Tasmania
Northern Territory
National Storms and Rain Accumulation outlook
Four Day Forecasts
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NQ Rainfall 24 Accumulated (ACCESS G) PLUS one day
Monsoon Update
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Tropical Cyclone Alfred is now being treated as a certainty by the emergency authorities around SEQ and Northern NSW . The most likely threat is going to be flooding and swell, then the wind. The amount of water means the wind doesn't have to be strong to push things over like trees and fences. Pay attention to the categories below but the flooding will require people to follow instructions when provided. Remember even if your house is safe from flood, getting to your location may not be easy if there are medical concerns or utilities go down.
These are the expected differences with respect to damage from the different categories:
Category 1
Damaging winds. Negligible house damage. Damage to some crops, trees and caravans. Craft may drag moorings.
Maximum mean wind speed 63–88 km/h.
Typical strongest gust is up to 125 km/h.
Category 2
Destructive winds. Minor house damage. Significant damage to signs, trees and caravans. Heavy damage to some crops. Risk of power failure. Small craft may break moorings.
Maximum mean wind speed 89–117 km/h.
Typical strongest gust 125–164 km/h.
Category 3
Very destructive winds. Some roof and structural damage. Some caravans destroyed. Significant damage to crops and trees. Power failures likely.
Maximum mean wind speed 118–159 km/h.
Typical strongest gust 165–224 km/h.
Below are the expected rainfall figures and they vary a lot, but the regions impacted do not cope well with the lower end of the scale let alone the upper end. The other set below show the before and after giving you and idea of the time this system will take to cross. While you maybe used to storms of this intensity, you won't be used to them for that length of time. I have posted a few blogs on how to help your family through and reduce the trauma involved. What you will find is the media is often more traumatic than the storm itself.
Temperature and Rainfall Forecast - Access-G
Monday, 3rd March
Today's weather in southeast Queensland: a smattering of showers here and there, with a high chance of getting drenched if you're by the coast or on K'gari. If you're in the Gulf Country or Torres Strait, you might be lucky enough to experience some isolated showers and thunderstorms - a real treat! As for the rest of us, it's mostly sunny, so don't forget your sunglasses. Don't be fooled by the gentle breeze - those south to southeasterly winds are packing a punch along the east coast. But hey, at least the risk of getting blown away on K'gari is slowly fading away. Maximum temperatures are just about average in the southeast, but if you're on the east coast or anywhere else, well, get ready to sweat it out. The northern interior is in for a severe heatwave, with some areas even reaching extreme levels of heat - perfect for those looking to get a natural sauna experience. Stay cool, folks!
Tuesday, 4th March
Grab your umbrellas if you're in central and southern Queensland, especially in the southeast where showers are expected to be more like a group gathering than a solo act. If you're on the central and northern coasts, you might get lucky with some isolated showers. And if you're chilling on the coast of the Gulf of Carpentaria, you might witness some isolated showers and thunderstorms - just Mother Nature showing off her skills. But don't worry, the rest of Queensland will be mostly sunny, so you can leave your raincoat at home. Just be prepared for some serious heatwave action in the northern interior, with temperatures soaring above average, especially in the northwest where it might feel like you're melting into a puddle. Stay cool, Queensland!
Wednesday, 5th March
Get ready to dodge some raindrops in central and southern Queensland, especially in the southeast where showers will be crashing the party. Don't forget your umbrella if you're heading out in that direction. Coastal areas and Cape York Peninsula will also see some isolated showers, with a side of thunderstorms in the northwest. The rest of the region will be partly cloudy, so you might want to keep your sunglasses handy. Temperatures will be playing a game of extremes, with the southeast staying chill while the west cranks up the heat. If you find yourself in the northern interior or northwest, be prepared for some serious sweating - it's gonna be a scorcher. Stay cool, folks!
Thursday, 6th March
Looks like Queensland is in for a bit of a mixed bag weather-wise. Central and southern regions can expect some isolated to scattered showers, with the possibility of things getting a bit more widespread in the southeast thanks to Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred. The remaining coasts and Cape York Peninsula will also see some showers, along with a few isolated thunderstorms in the northwest and northern Cape York Peninsula. Everywhere else will be partly cloudy. Temperatures will be all over the place, with the northwest experiencing some seriously above-average highs. The interior will also be warmer than usual, while the rest of the state will hover around average temperatures. The southeast might even dip below average by the end of the week. And speaking of heat, the northwest is in for a severe heatwave. So, make sure to stay cool and hydrated, folks. And maybe keep an eye on that Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred just in case. Just another day in the beautiful land of Oz!
Region Round-up - BOM
Forecast for North Tropical Coast and Tablelands:
Prepare for a day filled with blinding sunshine and breezes that can't seem to make up their minds on which direction they want to blow. Temperatures will dance between the high teens and low twenties overnight, only to skyrocket into the scorching low to mid thirties during the day. Don't forget your sunscreen and a portable fan, unless you want to melt into a puddle by evening.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Cairns | ☀️ | 22 | 34 | Sunny. |
Atherton | ☀️ | 18 | 33 | Sunny. |
Cooktown | ☀️ | 22 | 35 | Sunny. |
Innisfail | ☀️ | 21 | 33 | Sunny. |
Mareeba | ☀️ | 19 | 36 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Herbert and Lower Burdekin:
Get ready to roast like a chicken in an oven, folks! The sun will be shining and the winds will be as weak as my willpower to resist a second slice of cake. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 19-23 degrees, so you might want to pull out that extra thin sheet. Daytime temperatures will soar to the mid to high 30s, so make sure to stay hydrated and wear sunscreen unless you want to end up looking like a well-done steak.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Townsville | ☀️ | 23 | 34 | Sunny. |
Ayr | ☀️ | 22 | 36 | Sunny. |
Ingham | ☀️ | 20 | 35 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Central Coast and Whitsundays:
Get ready to sweat buckets as the sun beats down on you with light winds offering no relief. Overnight, it'll cool down to the low 20s - perfect for cuddling up in bed with your trusty fan or air conditioning. Daytime temperatures will soar to a scorching 33 to 38 degrees, so make sure to stay hydrated and avoid turning into a human puddle on the pavement.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Mackay | ☀️ | 22 | 32 | Sunny. |
Bowen | ☀️ | 23 | 33 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Peninsula:
Well, looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive today. There's a slight chance of a shower up near Weipa, but basically zilch everywhere else. If you happen to be north of Weipa, watch out for a cheeky thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Don't worry though, the winds will be so light you might not even notice them. Expect overnight temperatures in the low to mid 20s, so maybe crack open a window if you're feeling adventurous. Daytime temperatures will be climbing to the mid to high 30s, so make sure you have your trusty fan or air conditioning ready to go.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Weipa | ⛅ | 23 | 34 | Mostly sunny. |
Coen | ⛅ | 22 | 36 | Mostly sunny. |
Palmerville | ☀️ | 22 | 36 | Sunny. |
Thursday Island | 🌧 | 25 | 31 | Shower or two. |
Forecast for Gulf Country:
Well, looks like Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive today. We've got a slight chance of rain up north, but don't get your hopes up anywhere else. There might even be a thunderstorm crashing the party in the afternoon and evening, so bring your umbrella just in case. The winds will be light, just like my wallet after paying those electricity bills. Temperatures will be dropping to the mid 20s overnight, so you might want to bring a blanket to bed. Daytime temperatures are going to be scorching, reaching 37 to 42 degrees. Looks like it's going to be a hot one, folks.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Normanton | 🌧 | 26 | 39 | Possible shower. |
Burketown | ⛅ | 25 | 39 | Partly cloudy. |
Doomadgee | ⛅ | 25 | 40 | Mostly sunny. |
Kowanyama | ⛅ | 24 | 36 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders:
Looks like we've got some sunshine on the agenda today, folks! Expect those light winds to start off from the east and then do a little dance to the southeast, reaching speeds of 15 to 25 km/h. By late evening, they'll be ready to call it a day and calm down. Don't forget to bring out those low 20s overnight temperatures and be prepared for a toasty 40 degrees during the day. Time to break out the sunscreen and stay hydrated!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Charters Towers | ☀️ | 21 | 38 | Sunny. |
Georgetown | ⛅ | 23 | 38 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Capricornia:
Well, it's shaping up to be a scorcher out there, folks. Expect some light winds in the morning, giving way to a southerly breeze in the afternoon. Temperatures will be soaring into the mid to high 30s during the day, so maybe pack some extra deodorant. And don't worry, it'll cool down to the low 20s overnight, giving you a chance to catch your breath before the heatwave continues.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Gladstone | ⛅ | 24 | 35 | Partly cloudy. |
Rockhampton | ☀️ | 23 | 37 | Sunny. |
Biloela | ☀️ | 20 | 37 | Sunny. |
Yeppoon | ☀️ | 24 | 34 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Central Highlands and Coalfields:
It's going to be a scorcher out there, folks! Light winds will start the day, but brace yourselves for a southerly change bringing some breezy conditions. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a balmy 19-22 degrees, so you might want to break out the extra blanket. Daytime highs will be in the mid to high 30s, so get ready to sweat it out!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Emerald | ☀️ | 21 | 39 | Sunny. |
Clermont | ☀️ | 21 | 38 | Sunny. |
Moranbah | ☀️ | 21 | 37 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Central West:
Ah, another scorching day ahead, folks! Expect some light winds in the morning, just to keep things interesting, before they ramp up to a delightful southeasterly breeze by midday. Overnight, temperatures will drop to the low to mid 20s, giving you a chance to catch your breath before the mercury skyrockets to a toasty 40 degrees during the day. Remember to stay hydrated and lather on the sunscreen - you don't want to end up looking like a lobster!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Longreach | ☀️ | 24 | 42 | Sunny. |
Barcaldine | ☀️ | 23 | 41 | Sunny. |
Winton | ☀️ | 24 | 42 | Sunny. |
Forecast for North West:
Well, it's going to be another scorcher out there today, so make sure to pack your sunscreen and stay hydrated. Expect some light winds in the morning, but by midday, it'll feel like you're in a hairdryer on full blast. Temperatures will be hot enough to cook an egg on the pavement, so maybe stick to air-conditioned activities. Overnight, it'll cool down to a balmy mid to high 20s, perfect for sweating through your bedsheets. Daytime temperatures will hit the low to mid 40s, so don't forget your portable fan or ice pack hat.
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Mount Isa | ☀️ | 25 | 43 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Channel Country:
Looks like Mother Nature is really turning up the heat today, folks! Expect sunny skies with some southeasterly winds in the morning, followed by a shift to southerly winds in the afternoon. Temperatures will be scorching, with overnight lows in the mid to high 20s and daytime highs reaching a toasty 41 to 46 degrees. So, make sure to stay cool and hydrated, because it's going to be a hot one out there!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Birdsville | ☀️ | 30 | 45 | Sunny. |
Thargomindah | ☀️ | 28 | 42 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Maranoa and Warrego:
Well, it seems we're in for a bit of a breeze today, folks. Winds will be coming from the east to southeasterly at a leisurely 15 to 20 km/h, before deciding to kick it up a notch to 20 to 30 km/h around midday. Then they'll do a little dance back to southeasterly at 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight, temperatures will drop to a relatively balmy 19 to 26 degrees, so you might want to break out the light sweater. But don't get too comfortable, because during the day it's going to get toasty with temperatures hitting around 40 degrees. So maybe bust out the sunscreen and a fan, or maybe just embrace the sweat and pretend you're at a tropical resort. It's all about perspective, right?
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Charleville | ☀️ | 22 | 41 | Sunny. |
Roma | ☀️ | 20 | 38 | Sunny. |
St George | ☀️ | 21 | 37 | Sunny. |
Cunnamulla | ☀️ | 25 | 41 | Sunny. |
Forecast for Darling Downs and Granite Belt:
It's looking mostly sunny out there, with a slight chance of a shower over the Granite Belt - but don't hold your breath. The rest of us can expect near zero chance of rain, so you might want to water those plants yourself. Winds will be doing their thing, starting east to southeasterly at 20 to 30 km/h before deciding to switch it up to south to southeasterly in the middle of the day. By the late evening, they'll be feeling indecisive and will settle on east to southeasterly at 15 to 25 km/h. Typical. Overnight temperatures will be dropping to a balmy 17 to 21 degrees, so maybe bring a light jumper if you're feeling fancy. Daytime temperatures will be soaring to 32 to 38 degrees, so be prepared to melt like the Wicked Witch of the West. Enjoy!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Dalby | ⛅ | 18 | 34 | Mostly sunny. |
Goondiwindi | ⛅ | 20 | 38 | Mostly sunny. |
Toowoomba | ⛅ | 19 | 29 | Partly cloudy. |
Warwick | ⛅ | 17 | 31 | Partly cloudy. |
Stanthorpe | ⛅ | 17 | 27 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Wide Bay and Burnett:
Grab your umbrella and sunscreen, folks! Mother Nature is feeling a bit indecisive today with a mix of clouds and a chance of showers, especially near the coast. Winds will be blowing from the south to southeasterly direction at a brisk pace of 25 to 35 km/h, so hold onto your hats! Temperatures will be dropping overnight to a somewhat bearable range of 19 to 23 degrees, only to rise during the day to a scorching 29 to 35 degrees. It's like a rollercoaster of temperatures out there! And if you were planning on hitting the beach, think again. The surf is expected to be large and powerful, making it a bit risky for activities like rock fishing, swimming, and surfing. So maybe just stick to building sandcastles instead. Stay safe out there, folks!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Bundaberg | 🌧 | 23 | 32 | Possible shower. |
Gympie | 🌧 | 22 | 30 | Shower or two. |
Hervey Bay | 🌧 | 23 | 30 | Shower or two. |
Kingaroy | ⛅ | 19 | 29 | Partly cloudy. |
Maryborough | 🌧 | 22 | 30 | Shower or two. |
Gayndah | ⛅ | 22 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Forecast for Southeast Coast:
Grab your raincoat and umbrella, folks. Mother Nature is feeling a bit moody today, with a medium chance of showers along the coast and a slight chance elsewhere. Winds will be blowing southeasterly at 15 to 25 km/h, so hold onto your hats. And if you were planning on hitting the beach, think again - the surf is going to be large and powerful, making it a hazardous day for activities like rock fishing, swimming, and surfing. Stay safe out there!
Location | Icon | Min Temp (°C) | Max Temp (°C) | Description |
Beaudesert | 🌧 | 20 | 31 | Possible shower. |
Brisbane | 🌧 | 22 | 31 | Possible shower. |
Gatton | ⛅ | 19 | 34 | Partly cloudy. |
Ipswich | ⛅ | 20 | 33 | Partly cloudy. |
Logan Central | 🌧 | 21 | 31 | Possible shower. |
Maroochydore | 🌧 | 23 | 29 | Shower or two. Windy. |
Redcliffe | 🌧 | 23 | 29 | Possible shower. Windy. |
Surfers Paradise | 🌧 | 21 | 29 | Showers. Windy. |
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National maps by Weatherzone (weatherzone.com.au)
State maps by Windy (Windy.com)
Weather forecast supplemented by Bureau of Meteorology (bom.gov.au)
Rainfall daily totals (https://meteologix.com/ )
AccuWeather (https://www.accuweather.com/)
Nine Weather (https://www.9news.com.au/weather)
Wally's Weather provides professionally researched data and information. Andrew aka 'Wally' has over 20 years of experience in meteorology research and data analysis. In 2023 finished top 4 for the AMOS national weather forecasting competition. The content here is provided as educational information aimed at providing the community and businesses with the tools required to determine local-based forecasts. IMPORTANT: The forecasts and information posted should never be used on their own to make business decisions as local influences.
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